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Stats as of

PadreMaronno

0xc468b3b8564017fcf2bf9ede2608a0ea24b1009d

+$856
Tracked Trades
916
First Seen
Oct 22, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Mentions
55% won ยท 199 settled ยท +$361

PadreMaronno is a Polymarket trader with 916 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 215 wins and 215 losses on settled markets, $856 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026? on Oct 1.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+12%
Money traded
$14.4K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
24ยข
Polymarket rank
#3,651

Profit over time

+$929-$90
Oct 22Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข2438%13%+5 pts
20 to 40ยข16329%38%+9 pts
40 to 60ยข17050%62%+12 pts
60 to 80ยข14370%66%-4 pts
Over 80ยข19792%96%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $222920%+$107
$2 to $622940%+$119
$6 to $1522952%-$35
$15 to $46522980%+$665

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Mentions35855%+$361
World politics15240%+$7
Soccer7039%-$89
US politics8068%+$191
Bitcoin3138%+$3
Commodities1793%+$142

Side taken

Yes 40%60% No

If you had copied PadreMaronno

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$699
Profit
on $2400 staked
14-10
Record
58% win rate
+29%
Return
12 still open
Profit over time24 settled trades
+$875+$0
Aug 3Sep 28
-$400
Max drawdown
37% below peak
1.7ร—
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.70ร—
Profit factor
$1.7K won vs $1.0K lost
+7.7 pts
Edge vs implied
58% won at 51ยข avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
4 trades

By category

culture21 settled+29%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

7 open positions worth $143

The markets PadreMaronno is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what PadreMaronno is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?
Oct 1
No18ยข$7-$7
Will Trump say "Ford" during his remarks at Peterbilt Motors Company?
Oct 1
No52ยข$10+$10
Will Trump say "Ice Cream" in October?
Sep 30
No26ยข$8-$8
See every position across 736 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Trump say "Hottest" this week? (March 29)
    $44 on Yes at 22ยข, Mar 20
    +$156
  2. 2
    Magnus Carlsen wins both World Rapid & Blitz Championships?
    $25 on Yes at 19ยข, Dec 27
    +$105
  3. 3
    Will Trump say "AI" or "Cyber" during Monday news conference?
    $1 on No at 1ยข, Apr 6
    +$99
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Messi and Ronaldo Shake Hands During World Cup?93ยข2100%+$53
Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?88ยข4100%+$25
Will Trump say "B-2" during trophy presentation?74ยข3100%+$6
Will Hillary say "President" 5+ times during her Epstein testimony?2+$0
Will Leavitt say "Venezuela" during the next press briefing?92ยข2100%+$22

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Nov 2025+$55
Dec 2025+$139
Jan 2026+$51
Feb 2026+$156
Mar 2026+$148
Apr 2026+$219
May 2026+$36
Jun 2026-$96
Jul 2026-$12
Aug 2026+$26
Sep 2026+$27
Oct 2026+$2

Polymarket leaderboards

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