greyoctober
0xc65ca4755436f82d8eb461e65781584b8cadea39
-$80.6K
- Tracked Trades
- 941
- First Seen
- Dec 9, 2025
- Last Trade
- Aug 18, 2026
greyoctober is a Polymarket trader with 941 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, -$80.6K net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 54%
- Return on settled
- -47%
- Money traded
- $3.0M
- Typical trade
- $276
- Copy score
- 41/100
- Polymarket rank
- #2,879
Profit over time
+$12.4K-$92.2K
Mar 21Aug 18
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢812%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢19033%33%+0 pts
40 to 60¢46850%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢24667%59%-7 pts
Over 80¢2993%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4423669%+$140
$44 to $27623564%+$294
$277 to $1.9K23538%-$6.9K
$2.0K to $54K23542%-$74.1K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Esports60557%-$31.4K
College basketball48+$0
NBA13336%-$28.9K
Hockey36+$0
MMA260%-$34.7K
Soccer48100%+$11.1K
Side taken
Yes 3%97% No
If you had copied greyoctober
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$636
Profit
on $4500 staked
25-20
Record
56% win rate
+14%
Return
45 still open
+$636-$437
Jun 29Aug 17
-$772
Max drawdown
860% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.32×
Profit factor
$2.6K won vs $2.0K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 5
- Deepest drawdown
- 27 trades
By category
culture42 settled+14%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
40 open positions worth $39.6K
The markets greyoctober is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Aug 18, 2 fills, avg 78¢
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Aug 12, 2 fills, avg 75¢
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins
Aug 11, 2 fills, avg 30¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$11.5KValorant: Gentle Mates vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins$7.7K on Enterprise Esports, Aug 9
- 2+$11.1KWill Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?$9.5K on Yes, Mar 22
- 3+$4.0KSeattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers$3.4K on Texas Rangers, Jul 27
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs5+$0
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)20%-$33.0K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A1+$0
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.54+$0
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 157.51+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
May 21Aug 18
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$29.1K
Apr 2026-$22.2K
May 2026-$32.5K
Jun 2026-$1.3K
Jul 2026-$6.2K
Aug 2026+$10.9K
Similar Polymarket traders
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