rivomarkets

greyoctober

0xc65ca4755436f82d8eb461e65781584b8cadea39

-$80.6K
Tracked Trades
941
First Seen
Dec 9, 2025
Last Trade
Aug 18, 2026

greyoctober is a Polymarket trader with 941 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 53 wins and 46 losses on settled markets, -$80.6K net profit on those trades.

Win rate
54%
Return on settled
-47%
Money traded
$3.0M
Typical trade
$276
Copy score
41/100
Polymarket rank
#2,879

Profit over time

+$12.4K-$92.2K
Mar 21Aug 18

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢812%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢19033%33%+0 pts
40 to 60¢46850%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢24667%59%-7 pts
Over 80¢2993%100%+7 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $4423669%+$140
$44 to $27623564%+$294
$277 to $1.9K23538%-$6.9K
$2.0K to $54K23542%-$74.1K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Esports60557%-$31.4K
College basketball48+$0
NBA13336%-$28.9K
Hockey36+$0
MMA260%-$34.7K
Soccer48100%+$11.1K

Side taken

Yes 3%97% No

If you had copied greyoctober

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$636
Profit
on $4500 staked
25-20
Record
56% win rate
+14%
Return
45 still open
Profit over time45 settled trades
+$636-$437
Jun 29Aug 17
-$772
Max drawdown
860% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.32×
Profit factor
$2.6K won vs $2.0K lost
+2.4 pts
Edge vs implied
56% won at 53¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
27 trades

By category

culture42 settled+14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

40 open positions worth $39.6K

The markets greyoctober is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what greyoctober is holding

Recent positions

Valorant: G2 Esports vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In
Aug 18, 2 fills, avg 78¢
BUYG2 ESPORTS$28+$4
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs K27 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group B
Aug 12, 2 fills, avg 75¢
BUYTEAM FALCONS$10+$2
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-Ins
Aug 11, 2 fills, avg 30¢
BUYTRACE ESPORTS$103+$121
See every position across 562 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Valorant: Gentle Mates vs Enterprise Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins
    $7.7K on Enterprise Esports, Aug 9
    +$11.5K
  2. 2
    Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-22?
    $9.5K on Yes, Mar 22
    +$11.1K
  3. 3
    Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers
    $3.4K on Texas Rangers, Jul 27
    +$4.0K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffs5+$0
UFC Fight Night: Carlos Prates vs. Jack Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)20%-$33.0K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group A1+$0
Drexel Dragons vs. Towson Tigers: O/U 125.54+$0
Utah Valley Wolverines vs. Southern Utah Thunderbirds: O/U 157.51+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

May 21Aug 18

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$29.1K
Apr 2026-$22.2K
May 2026-$32.5K
Jun 2026-$1.3K
Jul 2026-$6.2K
Aug 2026+$10.9K

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