rivomarkets

Stats as of

spxtest

0xc808e7855e3ff6baebcfe9aec6965d86eafefffe

+$568
Tracked Trades
1,008
First Seen
Aug 7, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 14, 2026
Best In Weather
83% won · 170 settled · +$550

spxtest is a Polymarket trader with 1,008 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 392 wins and 95 losses on settled markets, $568 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.0 on October 16, 2026? on Oct 14.

Win rate
80%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$55.4K
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
84¢
Polymarket rank
#3,007

Profit over time

+$855-$591
Aug 7Sep 30

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3185%7%+3 pts
20 to 40¢6428%37%+9 pts
40 to 60¢9951%65%+13 pts
60 to 80¢8369%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢44495%98%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $225219%+$82
$2 to $1525252%-$23
$15 to $4925289%+$381
$49 to $2.7K25295%+$128

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather48285%+$708
Mentions13266%-$108
World politics3191%+$132
Entertainment9979%+$505
US politics5100%+$38
Stocks and indices73100%+$39

Side taken

Yes 42%58% No

If you had copied spxtest

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$9300
Profit
on $48700 staked
392-95
Record
80% win rate
+19%
Return
23 still open
Profit over time487 settled trades
+$10.2K-$1.1K
Aug 3Oct 12
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
15% below peak
5.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.98×
Profit factor
$18.8K won vs $9.5K lost
+2.9 pts
Edge vs implied
80% won at 78¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
104 trades

By category

culture368 settled+26%
finance82 settled+3%
politics19 settled-3%
sports18 settled-24%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $5.2K

The markets spxtest is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what spxtest is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Google by December 31?
Oct 14, 2 fills
Sold Nosold 90¢$1.3KExited
Will the biggest earthquake on September 30, 2026 be 5.5 to 5.6?
Sep 30
Sold Nosold 31¢$19Exited
Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during his remarks at the Hispanic Heritage Month Celebration?
Sep 30
No13¢$26-$26
See every position across 506 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 20 million or more views on day 1?
    $507 on No at 70¢, Sep 12
    +$214
  2. 2
    US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 2?
    $76 on Down at 38¢, Sep 2
    +$124
  3. 3
    Will it rain in Philadelphia, PA on September 21?
    $1 on No at 1¢, Sep 21
    +$99
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Trump's approval rating be at least 37.2 on October 16, 2026?91¢2+$0
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?99¢4100%+$26
Will Trump say "Genius" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?100¢1100%+$2
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?100¢3100%+$7
Will the biggest earthquake on September 25, 2026 be under 5.3?100¢2100%+$2

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 17Oct 14

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$583
Sep 2026+$1.2K

How they build positions

Closed a position50%
Trimmed a position50%

Polymarket leaderboards

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