rivomarkets

Stats as of

fresh

0xd064251efc30a38c3323e42113656144d4b8c4d1

+$1.8K
Tracked Trades
993
First Seen
Jul 1, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 15, 2026
Best In Companies
96% won · 305 settled · +$1.5K

fresh is a Polymarket trader with 993 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 557 wins and 86 losses on settled markets, $1.8K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%? on Oct 15.

Win rate
87%
Return on settled
+5%
Money traded
$54.7K
Typical trade
$21
Avg entry
70¢
Polymarket rank
#2,950

Profit over time

+$1.8K-$1.2K
Jul 1Oct 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢758%11%+3 pts
20 to 40¢3731%52%+21 pts
40 to 60¢6951%59%+9 pts
60 to 80¢7872%83%+11 pts
Over 80¢73497%98%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $924964%+$8
$9 to $2124886%-$18
$21 to $10024895%+$72
$100 to $1.4K24898%+$1.7K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Companies43996%+$1.5K
Commodities14471%+$927
Economic data17989%-$391
Soccer1830%+$2
Fed and rates7082%-$166
World politics11275%-$43

Side taken

Yes 48%52% No

If you had copied fresh

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4777
Profit
on $51100 staked
458-53
Record
90% win rate
+9%
Return
267 still open
Profit over time511 settled trades
+$4.8K-$235
Jul 13Oct 12
-$1.5K
Max drawdown
42% below peak
3.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.90×
Profit factor
$10.1K won vs $5.3K lost
+4.5 pts
Edge vs implied
90% won at 85¢ avg
Longest losing streak
5
Deepest drawdown
151 trades

By category

finance467 settled+11%
politics24 settled-3%
sports20 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

191 open positions worth $12.7K

The markets fresh is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what fresh is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin <66%?
Oct 15, 2 fills
No100¢$231+$0
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 66% to 67%?
Oct 15, 4 fills
Yes67¢$348+$175
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?
Oct 15, 4 fills
No91¢$902+$88
See every position across 729 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?
    $500 on Yes at 49¢, Sep 9
    +$519
  2. 2
    Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
    $509 on Yes at 57¢, Aug 4
    +$386
  3. 3
    Will the total US effective tariff rate for Q2 be at least 8%?
    $148 on Yes at 32¢, Jul 30
    +$315
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will England win on 2026-07-01?93¢3100%+$14
Will the June 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?21¢10%-$1000
Will Bank of America (BAC) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $1.3B?92¢6100%+$84
Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q3 gross profit margin 68% to 69%?91¢4100%+$88
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13?96¢5100%+$28

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 18Oct 15

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$137
Aug 2026+$743
Sep 2026+$485
Oct 2026+$721

Polymarket leaderboards

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