rivomarkets

0xf51b…ca1b

0xf51b1d560e33b1c56f8a9a4e8fec3d4800c0ca1b

+$69
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 14, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 1, 2026
Best In Weather
51% won · 171 settled · +$53

0xf51b…ca1b is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 107 wins and 104 losses on settled markets, $69 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2? on Oct 1.

Win rate
51%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$13.0K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
40¢
Polymarket rank
#2,446

Profit over time

+$72-$131
Sep 14Oct 1

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1988%15%+7 pts
20 to 40¢15031%14%-17 pts
40 to 60¢12750%36%-14 pts
60 to 80¢10871%66%-5 pts
Over 80¢39295%98%+3 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $424412%+$100
$4 to $924451%+$37
$9 to $2124456%-$115
$21 to $25724393%+$23

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather87051%+$20
Companies19+$0
Commodities1891%+$10
Esports3933%+$15
Entertainment10+$0
World politics5+$0

Side taken

Yes 54%46% No

If you had copied 0xf51b…ca1b

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1152
Profit
on $20600 staked
105-101
Record
51% win rate
+6%
Return
598 still open
Profit over time206 settled trades
+$1.2K-$2.3K
Sep 14Sep 28
-$3.7K
Max drawdown
726% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.11×
Profit factor
$11.3K won vs $10.1K lost
-3.6 pts
Edge vs implied
51% won at 55¢ avg
Longest losing streak
11
Deepest drawdown
175 trades

By category

culture168 settled+10%
finance11 settled-3%
sports27 settled-19%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

307 open positions worth $8.2K

The markets 0xf51b…ca1b is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0xf51b…ca1b is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 2?
Oct 1, 2 fills
No80¢$48Open
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 2?
Oct 1
Yes34¢$9Open
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 2?
Oct 1
Yes1¢$0Open
See every position across 496 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?
    $10 on Yes at 6¢, Sep 30
    +$143
  2. 2
    LoL: Solary vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix - Game 3 Winner
    $8 on ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix at 14¢, Sep 27
    +$48
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on September 29?
    $4 on Yes at 7¢, Sep 29
    +$47
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 30?6¢4100%+$143
Will the highest wind gust at Boston Logan be 50 kt or more?70¢17+$0
Will Lake Powell's minimum elevation stay above 3,510 ft?60¢6+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 17?95¢8+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on September 28?93¢5100%+$5

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 4Oct 1

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$39
Oct 2026+$6

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