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Stats as of

Polymarket

0xf5e4…471a

0xf5e47caf8b2e23aa9230d70758bdb2c9747f471a

-$406
Tracked Trades
1,002
First Seen
Jan 30, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 11, 2026

0xf5e4…471a is a Polymarket trader with 1,002 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 15 wins and 86 losses on settled markets, -$406 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Labor win the most seats in the next Victorian Legislative Council election? on Oct 11.

Win rate
15%
Return on settled
-9%
Money traded
$23.1K
Typical trade
$9
Avg entry
12¢
Polymarket rank
#6,803

Profit over time

+$111-$1.5K
Mar 6Oct 6

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4828%8%+0 pts
20 to 40¢28628%15%-13 pts
40 to 60¢16448%50%+2 pts
60 to 80¢2370%100%+30 pts
Over 80¢4795%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $32510%-$27
$3 to $925119%+$22
$9 to $252504%-$336
$25 to $70025029%-$66

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics63318%-$46
Companies1940%-$249
Entertainment81+$0
US elections47+$0
Other finance9+$0
Other politics10+$0

Side taken

Yes 55%45% No

If you had copied 0xf5e4…471a

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$3610
Profit
on $7200 staked
12-60
Record
17% win rate
-50%
Return
111 still open
Profit over time72 settled trades
+$0-$3.6K
Jul 13Oct 5
-$3.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.40×
Profit factor
$2.4K won vs $6.0K lost
-3.9 pts
Edge vs implied
17% won at 21¢ avg
Longest losing streak
20
Deepest drawdown
72 trades

By category

politics56 settled-36%
culture6 settled-100%
finance10 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

58 open positions worth $2.9K

The markets 0xf5e4…471a is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0xf5e4…471a is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Liberal–National hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
Oct 11
Sold Yessold 25¢$2Exited
Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?
Oct 9, 7 fills
Yes15¢sold 34¢$61Exited
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 achieve a successful splashdown?
Oct 9, 4 fills
No27¢sold 55¢$64Exited
See every position across 357 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?
    $294 on No at 31¢, Oct 3
    +$641
  2. 2
    Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
    $1.4K on No at 77¢, Sep 18
    +$418
  3. 3
    Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
    $51 on Yes at 15¢, Sep 9
    +$288
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will voter turnout be between 50% and 53% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?77¢2100%+$418
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?24¢45+$0
Will Artemis II launch by February 28?24¢37+$0
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23?45¢5+$0
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?17¢100%-$685

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 14Oct 11

Profit by month

Mar 2026-$2
Apr 2026-$25
May 2026-$621
Jun 2026-$271
Jul 2026-$147
Aug 2026-$247
Sep 2026+$924
Oct 2026-$17

How they build positions

Trimmed a position100%

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