rivomarkets

Stats as of

CastleRock

0xfb6417f13b14a97188aeda97242d909ec58eeb56

+$252
Tracked Trades
423
First Seen
Nov 30, 2024
Last Trade
Oct 9, 2026

CastleRock is a Polymarket trader with 423 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 8 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $252 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Xi Jinping out before 2027? on Oct 9.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$280.7K
Typical trade
$379
Avg entry
96¢
Polymarket rank
#3,080

Profit over time

+$252+$0
Jul 6Aug 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢53%
20 to 40¢228%
40 to 60¢456%
60 to 80¢3274%
Over 80¢38095%100%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $136106100%+$3
$141 to $379106100%+$18
$382 to $930106+$0
$930 to $10K105100%+$231

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin155+$0
World politics71100%+$252
Ethereum60+$0
Other crypto35+$0
US politics17+$0
Fed and rates27+$0

Side taken

Yes 5%95% No

If you had copied CastleRock

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$18
Profit
on $700 staked
7-0
Record
100% win rate
+3%
Return
34 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$18+$0
Jul 13Oct 5

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

politics7 settled+3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

11 open positions worth $23.8K

The markets CastleRock is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what CastleRock is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Aug 31, 2 fills
No85¢sold 96¢$170Exited
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
Aug 31
Sold Nosold 93¢$47Exited
See every position across 208 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
    $5.5K on No at 97¢, Aug 28
    +$161
  2. 2
    Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
    $2.8K on No at 97¢, Aug 5
    +$91
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?100¢4+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?99¢3+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?96¢6+$0
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?98¢5+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?97¢7+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 12Oct 9

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$133
Aug 2026+$119

How they build positions

Closed a position75%
Trimmed a position25%

Similar Polymarket traders

Build a bot that copies CastleRock.

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