PolymarketElonSimp
0xfbcbd30ee172d6750364c117d989c4c049eebb5d
+$2.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,032
- First Seen
- Aug 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In Other politics
- 78% won · 583 settled · +$2.1K
ElonSimp is a Polymarket trader with 1,032 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 454 wins and 129 losses on settled markets, $2.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 78%
- Return on settled
- +13%
- Money traded
- $29.0K
- Typical trade
- $5
- Copy score
- 74/100
- Polymarket rank
- #1,809
Profit over time
+$1.5K+$0
Aug 22Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6913%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢3224%0%-24 pts
60 to 80¢4971%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢13995%100%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $3730%-$70
$3 to $57287%-$6
$5 to $117284%-$44
$11 to $1.9K7295%+$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Other politics28970%+$1.4K
Side taken
Yes 41%59% No
If you had copied ElonSimp
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$4363
Profit
on $19100 staked
133-58
Record
70% win rate
-23%
Return
+$203-$4.4K
Aug 17Sep 28
-$4.6K
Max drawdown
2087% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.25×
Profit factor
$1.4K won vs $5.8K lost
+0.8 pts
Edge vs implied
70% won at 69¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 22
- Deepest drawdown
- 160 trades
By category
culture18 settled+11%
politics173 settled-26%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 8 fills, avg 70¢
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 10 fills, avg 9¢
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026?
Sep 29, 50 fills, avg 17¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$578Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?$2.5K on No, Sep 3
- 2+$413Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?$4.4K on No, Sep 2
- 3+$206Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?$2.6K on No, Aug 29
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?3100%+$413
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?5100%+$3
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?4100%+$2
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in August 2026?4100%+$206
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?4100%+$578
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Aug 2026+$383
Sep 2026+$1.1K
How they build positions
Trimmed a position89%
Closed a position11%
Similar Polymarket traders
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