rivomarkets
Polymarket

0xfbd8…4027

0xfbd8c9c22ca76b3662d0e53a4f79719fdc684027

+$565
Tracked Trades
1,120
First Seen
Aug 19, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 30, 2026
Best In World politics
90% won · 39 settled · +$200

0xfbd8…4027 is a Polymarket trader with 1,120 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 91 wins and 19 losses on settled markets, $565 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? on Sep 30.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$16.3K
Typical trade
$15
Avg entry
65¢
Polymarket rank
#2,172

Profit over time

+$1.1K-$34
Aug 19Sep 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢113%0%-13 pts
20 to 40¢525%0%-25 pts
40 to 60¢259%100%+42 pts
60 to 80¢670%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢10693%98%+5 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $73080%+$2
$8 to $1230100%+$10
$17 to $3030100%+$15
$30 to $1.5K3081%+$531

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics9590%+$200
Fed and rates5100%+$6
Tennis3100%+$137
Other politics1100%+$3
Soccer2100%+$166
US elections771%+$44

Side taken

Yes 0%100% No

If you had copied 0xfbd8…4027

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$35
Profit
on $6100 staked
54-7
Record
89% win rate
-1%
Return
59 still open
Profit over time61 settled trades
+$217-$35
Aug 17Sep 28
-$289
Max drawdown
114% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.95×
Profit factor
$665 won vs $700 lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
89% won at 83¢ avg
Longest losing streak
2
Deepest drawdown
7 trades

By category

culture13 settled+7%
politics46 settled-3%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

31 open positions worth $2.3K

The markets 0xfbd8…4027 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what 0xfbd8…4027 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sep 30
No100¢$504Open
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sep 30
No99¢$502Open
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sep 30
No100¢$503Open
See every position across 65 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
    $6.0K on No at 73¢, Sep 17
    +$2.2K
  2. 2
    Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
    $1.0K on No at 86¢, Aug 23
    +$166
  3. 3
    Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?
    $1.3K on No at 94¢, Sep 11
    +$80
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?73¢4100%+$2.2K
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?25¢40%-$2.0K
Will Karen Khachanov win the 2026 Men's US Open?94¢2100%+$80
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?100¢1100%+$3
Will Declan Rice win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?86¢2100%+$166

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 3Sep 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$207
Sep 2026+$351

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