Esperancia
esperancia
+$25.3K
- Tracked Trades
- 908
- First Seen
- Jun 19, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Followers
- 4
- Best In Baseball
- 80% won · 56 settled · +$18.6K
Esperancia is a Kalshi trader with 908 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 162 wins and 218 losses on settled markets, $25.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Philadelphia wins on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 43%
- Return on settled
- +33%
- Money traded
- $135.3K
- Typical trade
- $17
- Copy score
- 38/100
- Kalshi rank
- #119
Profit over time
+$28.1K-$1.2K
Jun 23Sep 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2917%10%+3 pts
20 to 40¢16729%22%-7 pts
40 to 60¢18850%81%+31 pts
60 to 80¢13670%72%+2 pts
Over 80¢9990%95%+5 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $422134%-$6
$4 to $1722028%-$64
$17 to $8222037%-$210
$83 to $11K22068%+$27.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Baseball11587%+$21.0K
Tennis51835%-$2.8K
Parlays14021%+$7.9K
Soccer81100%+$264
College football660%+$579
NFL1367%+$501
Side taken
Yes 83%17% No
If you had copied Esperancia
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$405
Profit
on $37300 staked
160-213
Record
43% win rate
-1%
Return
317 still open
+$1.3K-$3.1K
Jun 29Sep 28
-$9.5K
Max drawdown
269% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$20.9K won vs $21.3K lost
+6.8 pts
Edge vs implied
43% won at 36¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 36
- Deepest drawdown
- 204 trades
By category
sports20 settled+0%
other346 settled-1%
culture7 settled-18%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
191 open positions worth $28.5K
The markets Esperancia is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Philadelphia wins
Sep 29, 3 fills, avg 5¢
yes Atlanta,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Dearica Hamby: 10+,yes Nneka Ogwumike: 10+,yes Rae Burrell: 10+,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Jordin Canada: 2+,yes Dearica Hamby: 4+,yes Rae Burrell: 2+
Sep 28, avg 25¢
yes Atlanta,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Dearica Hamby: 10+,yes Nneka Ogwumike: 10+,yes Rae Burrell: 10+,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Jordin Canada: 2+,yes Dearica Hamby: 4+,yes Rae Burrell: 2+
Sep 28, avg 62¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$8.0Kyes Atlanta,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Dearica Hamby: 10+,yes Nneka Ogwumike: 10+,yes Rae Burrell: 10+,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Jordin Canada: 2+,yes Dearica Hamby: 4+,yes Rae Burrell: 2+$3.6K on Yes, Sep 27
- 2+$4.3KKXMLBTOTAL-26SEP262040AZSD-13$11.0K on Yes, Sep 27
- 3+$3.3KOver 9.5 runs scored$4.4K on Yes, Sep 26
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Over 9.5 runs scored23100%+$8.6K
yes Atlanta,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Dearica Hamby: 10+,yes Nneka Ogwumike: 10+,yes Rae Burrell: 10+,yes Angel Reese: 10+,yes Jordin Canada: 2+,yes Dearica Hamby: 4+,yes Rae Burrell: 2+4100%+$9.2K
KXMLBTOTAL-26SEP262040AZSD-135100%+$4.3K
Fumin Jiang wins70%-$1.4K
England vs Ghana Winner?9+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Jun 2026+$252
Aug 2026-$171
Sep 2026+$27.4K
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