Stats as of
expitia
-$3.9K
- Tracked Trades
- 681
- First Seen
- Oct 20, 2025
- Last Trade
- Oct 12, 2026
- Best In NFL
- 51% won · 65 settled · +$1.8K
expitia is a Kalshi trader with 681 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 108 wins and 336 losses on settled markets, -$3.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: BTC price up in next 15 mins? on Oct 12.
- Win rate
- 24%
- Return on settled
- -12%
- Money traded
- $54.9K
- Typical trade
- $20
- Avg entry
- 34¢
- Kalshi rank
- #5,479
Profit over time
+$50-$6.1K
Oct 20Oct 12
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢19710%11%+0 pts
20 to 40¢21528%11%-17 pts
40 to 60¢13349%48%+0 pts
60 to 80¢10167%44%-22 pts
Over 80¢3593%100%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $617116%-$19
$6 to $2017016%-$448
$20 to $7217023%-$1.8K
$73 to $2.1K17041%-$1.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin23418%+$543
Tennis23024%-$812
NFL11751%+$1.8K
NBA5322%-$1.4K
Baseball1025%-$2.3K
College football90%-$767
Side taken
Yes 70%30% No
If you had copied expitia
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$9313
Profit
on $17900 staked
42-137
Record
23% win rate
-52%
Return
+$547-$9.3K
Oct 5Oct 12
-$10.1K
Max drawdown
1263% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.32×
Profit factor
$4.4K won vs $13.7K lost
-5.4 pts
Edge vs implied
23% won at 29¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 71
- Deepest drawdown
- 158 trades
By category
sports28 settled+21%
crypto146 settled-69%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 11 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 10 fills
BTC price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 12, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.5KWill Yanan Hou win the Hou vs Zelinskaya: W50 Wuning Round of 32 match?$675 on Yes at 21¢, May 31
- 2+$2.2KBTC price up in next 15 mins?$2.5K on Yes at 53¢, Oct 12
- 3+$793SEA Seahawks wins by over 3.5 points?$969 on No at 55¢, Oct 11
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?35¢23418%+$543
Will Francesca Jones win the Jones vs Wang match?14¢210%-$564
Los Angeles D wins49¢30%-$2.3K
Will Yanan Hou win the Hou vs Zelinskaya: W50 Wuning Round of 32 match?21¢42100%+$2.5K
Will Gabriele Bosio win the Lechno-Wasiutynski vs Bosio: M15 Tsaghkadzor Final match?14¢380%-$632
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 15Oct 12
Profit by month
Oct 2025-$657
Nov 2025-$1.3K
Dec 2025-$493
Jan 2026-$257
Feb 2026+$467
Mar 2026-$2
May 2026-$2.0K
Oct 2026+$402
Kalshi leaderboards
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