government
+$3.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 250
- First Seen
- Mar 21, 2026
- Last Trade
- Sep 29, 2026
- Best In NBA
- 41% won · 22 settled · +$12.4K
government is a Kalshi trader with 250 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 40 wins and 48 losses on settled markets, $3.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago WS vs Houston Wild Card series winner: Chicago WS wins on Sep 29.
- Win rate
- 45%
- Return on settled
- +5%
- Money traded
- $161.7K
- Typical trade
- $236
- Copy score
- 46/100
- Kalshi rank
- #1,363
Profit over time
+$12.7K-$9.3K
Mar 25Sep 26
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3212%0%-12 pts
20 to 40¢9331%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢8749%67%+17 pts
60 to 80¢2665%
Over 80¢1291%
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $566362%+$283
$58 to $2376332%-$677
$240 to $8156235%-$2.0K
$822 to $8.3K6243%+$5.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Parlays10310%+$1.5K
Hockey250%-$10.9K
NBA2641%+$12.4K
Baseball170%-$330
MMA767%+$2.6K
Boxing3496%+$407
Side taken
Yes 77%23% No
If you had copied government
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$1427
Profit
on $4600 staked
28-18
Record
61% win rate
+31%
Return
29 still open
+$1.9K-$700
Jul 6Sep 28
-$800
Max drawdown
39% below peak
1.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.79×
Profit factor
$3.2K won vs $1.8K lost
+20.2 pts
Edge vs implied
61% won at 41¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 8
- Deepest drawdown
- 8 trades
By category
other37 settled+43%
sports5 settled-11%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
15 open positions worth $21.5K
The markets government is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
Chicago WS vs Houston Wild Card series winner: Chicago WS wins
Sep 29, 3 fills, avg 58¢
KXMLBSERIES-26CWSHOUWC-CWS
Sep 28, avg 43¢
yes USC,yes Denver
Sep 26, avg 18¢
Biggest wins
- 1+$12.9Kyes LV Raiders,yes SF 49ers,yes Over 39.5 points scored,yes Over 27.5 points scored$4.4K on Yes, Sep 26
- 2+$9.6KWill the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Championship?$6.1K on Yes, May 4
- 3+$6.7Kyes Texas,yes Baltimore$3.3K on Yes, Sep 12
Most traded markets
TradesWonProfit
Will Vegas Golden Knights win the 2025-26 Stanley Cup Finals?230%-$8.3K
Will the New York win the 2026 Pro Basketball Eastern Conference Championship?4100%+$9.6K
yes Charlotte,yes Houston4+$0
yes LSU,yes Joshua van30%-$6.2K
yes Oklahoma,yes UCLA10%-$5.4K
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 2Sep 29
Profit by month
Mar 2026-$752
Apr 2026-$1.6K
May 2026+$6.8K
Jun 2026-$6.4K
Jul 2026-$1.0K
Aug 2026-$1.2K
Sep 2026+$7.5K
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