Stats as of
nathanpwin
-$3.1K
- Tracked Trades
- 966
- First Seen
- Jul 11, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 15, 2026
- Best In Commodities
- 87% won · 121 settled · +$2.4K
nathanpwin is a Kalshi trader with 966 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 294 wins and 322 losses on settled markets, -$3.1K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Los Angeles D wins on Oct 15.
- Win rate
- 48%
- Return on settled
- -12%
- Money traded
- $60.8K
- Typical trade
- $14
- Avg entry
- 34¢
- Kalshi rank
- #4,069
Profit over time
+$793-$4.5K
Jul 11Oct 15
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1948%3%-4 pts
20 to 40¢15029%35%+6 pts
40 to 60¢25950%54%+4 pts
60 to 80¢13067%60%-8 pts
Over 80¢23394%100%+6 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $324250%-$26
$3 to $1424244%-$145
$14 to $4824152%+$621
$49 to $2.7K24145%-$3.6K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin38344%-$45
Parlays9426%-$1.3K
Baseball12631%-$1.7K
Commodities14985%+$1.3K
WNBA210%-$1.1K
MMA1818%-$126
Side taken
Yes 55%45% No
If you had copied nathanpwin
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$510
Profit
on $54300 staked
269-274
Record
50% win rate
-1%
Return
21 still open
+$126-$2.4K
Jul 13Oct 12
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
163% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.98×
Profit factor
$26.9K won vs $27.4K lost
+3.2 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 46¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 30
- Deepest drawdown
- 89 trades
By category
finance108 settled+19%
crypto335 settled-1%
sports99 settled-22%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
12 open positions worth $420
The markets nathanpwin is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Los Angeles D wins
Oct 15
no Target Price: $80.2588,no Target Price: $3.58592
Oct 15
GBP/USD price up in next 15 mins?
Oct 15
Biggest wins
- 1+$673Gold price up in next 15 mins?$597 on Yes at 47¢, Oct 14
- 2+$606Will Paddy Pimblett win the Saint-Denis vs Pimblett professional MMA fight scheduled for Jul 11, 2026?$556 on Yes at 48¢, Jul 12
- 3+$591Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?$440 on No at 43¢, Oct 2
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
BTC price up in next 15 mins?35¢26346%-$1.4K
Bitcoin price on Oct 2, 2026?39¢6454%+$1.4K
Phoenix vs Minnesota winner?32¢130%-$985
Gold price up in next 15 mins?62¢5492%+$1.0K
Bryce Harper: 12+ home runs in Round 140¢190%-$984
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 18Oct 15
Profit by month
Jul 2026-$3.2K
Aug 2026-$720
Sep 2026-$111
Oct 2026+$859
Kalshi leaderboards
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