rivomarkets
Kalshi

tropical.gopher6115

+$3.5K
Tracked Trades
338
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 14, 2026
Followers
20

tropical.gopher6115 is a Kalshi trader with 338 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 28 wins and 17 losses on settled markets, $3.5K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms? on Sep 14.

Win rate
62%
Return on settled
+33%
Money traded
$79.3K
Typical trade
$22
Copy score
48/100
Kalshi rank
#1,346

Profit over time

+$3.5K-$3.7K
Jul 12Aug 12

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢12712%57%+45 pts
20 to 40¢2327%
40 to 60¢2849%
60 to 80¢5769%100%+31 pts
Over 80¢10389%67%-22 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $58550%+$87
$5 to $238562%+$545
$24 to $1678483%+$6.2K
$181 to $4.6K8450%-$3.4K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Culture6+$0

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied tropical.gopher6115

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$32919
Profit
on $4500 staked
28-17
Record
62% win rate
+732%
Return
40 still open
Profit over time45 settled trades
+$32.9K-$1.6K
Jul 6Sep 14
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
20.2×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
20.36×
Profit factor
$34.6K won vs $1.7K lost
+36.8 pts
Edge vs implied
62% won at 25¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
21 trades

By category

other45 settled+732%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $6.3K

The markets tropical.gopher6115 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what tropical.gopher6115 is holding

Recent positions

Will Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House after the 2026 midterms AND hold 49 or more seats in the Senate after the 2026 midterms?
Sep 14, 13 fills, avg 76¢
SELLYES$376Open
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?
Sep 14, 3 fills, avg 81¢
BUYNO$541Open
Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received checks of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue?
Sep 14, 6 fills, avg 6¢
SELLYES$131Open
See every position across 24 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?
    $736 on Yes, Aug 12
    +$7.1K
  2. 2
    Will it be confirmed that Nirav Shah is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
    $4.6K on No, Jul 12
    +$294
  3. 3
    Will it be confirmed that Shenna Bellows is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?
    $818 on No, Jul 12
    +$180
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before January 1, 2027?19+$0
Will David Crowley be the Democratic nominee for Governor in Wisconsin?4391%+$3.3K
Will the 7-day moving average of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch be above 60 before October 1, 2026?44+$0
Will it be confirmed that Nirav Shah is the Democratic nominee for U.S. Senate in Maine on July 31, 2026?296%-$152
Will Republicans win the Senate race in Maine?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 17Sep 14

Profit by month

Jul 2026+$3.2K
Aug 2026+$266

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