rivomarkets

Alcaraz2026

0x0172d9aea5b523c33955c0e9841d9a6af82d4e84

+$42
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 28, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Weather
55% won · 694 settled · +$42

Alcaraz2026 is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 382 wins and 312 losses on settled markets, $42 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 4? on Oct 2.

Win rate
55%
Return on settled
+3%
Money traded
$3.5K
Typical trade
$2
Avg entry
46¢
Polymarket rank
#2,976

Profit over time

+$46-$32
Sep 28Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢23230%32%+2 pts
40 to 60¢19749%48%-1 pts
60 to 80¢20670%73%+3 pts
Over 80¢36596%84%-12 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$1 to $225021%-$264
$2 to $225072%+$155
$2 to $325075%+$135
$3 to $4125066%+$16

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100055%+$42

Side taken

Yes 58%42% No

If you had copied Alcaraz2026

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$1533
Profit
on $69400 staked
382-312
Record
55% win rate
+2%
Return
39 still open
-$1.7K
Max drawdown
1442% below peak
0.9×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.05×
Profit factor
$32.7K won vs $31.2K lost
+1.1 pts
Edge vs implied
55% won at 54¢ avg
Longest losing streak
10
Deepest drawdown
42 trades

By category

culture694 settled+2%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

32 open positions worth $67

The markets Alcaraz2026 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Alcaraz2026 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 4?
Oct 2
Yes42¢$2Open
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on October 4?
Oct 2
Yes42¢$2Open
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on October 3?
Oct 2
Yes48¢$2Open
See every position across 449 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?
    $14 on Yes at 33¢, Sep 29
    +$28
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?
    $8 on No at 24¢, Oct 2
    +$24
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 29?
    $11 on Yes at 40¢, Sep 29
    +$16
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 29?33¢7100%+$28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 21°C on October 2?31¢660%+$20
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 29?40¢6100%+$16
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 29?46¢660%+$8
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on October 1?48¢767%+$7

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026-$4
Oct 2026+$46

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