rivomarkets
Polymarket

Michael1030

0x53d645c145ad5de079d461b0f4c86a850596d07a

+$148
Tracked Trades
999
First Seen
Oct 3, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 5, 2026
Best In Other crypto
30% won · 406 settled · +$67

Michael1030 is a Polymarket trader with 999 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 329 wins and 670 losses on settled markets, $148 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET on Oct 5.

Win rate
33%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$1.1K
Typical trade
$1
Avg entry
15¢
Polymarket rank
#3,157

Profit over time

+$181-$6
Oct 3Oct 5

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢33011%14%+2 pts
20 to 40¢32629%31%+2 pts
40 to 60¢24549%47%-1 pts
60 to 80¢7768%70%+2 pts
Over 80¢481%100%+19 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $124633%+$78
$1 to $124628%-$1
$1 to $124534%+$72
$1 to $124536%-$13

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other crypto40030%+$70
Bitcoin18542%+$47
XRP14034%+$3
Ethereum14030%-$8
Solana11728%+$24

Side taken

Yes 0%100% No

If you had copied Michael1030

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$12824
Profit
on $98200 staked
320-662
Record
33% win rate
+13%
Return
Profit over time982 settled trades
+$14.0K+$0
Sep 28Oct 5
-$4.8K
Max drawdown
29% below peak
2.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.19×
Profit factor
$79.0K won vs $66.2K lost
+1.3 pts
Edge vs implied
33% won at 31¢ avg
Longest losing streak
15
Deepest drawdown
235 trades

By category

crypto982 settled+13%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Oct 5
Down11¢$1-$1
Dogecoin Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Oct 5
Down36¢$1+$2
XRP Up or Down - October 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
Oct 5
Up31¢$1-$1
See every position across 706 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    BNB Up or Down - October 4, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
    $1 on Up at 2¢, Oct 4
    +$56
  2. 2
    Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
    $3 on Down at 8¢, Oct 4
    +$35
  3. 3
    Dogecoin Up or Down - October 4, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
    $2 on Down at 8¢, Oct 4
    +$24
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET21¢743%-$0
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET28¢540%+$3
BNB Up or Down - October 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET20¢520%-$3
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET56¢540%-$1
BNB Up or Down - October 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET30¢580%+$6

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 8Oct 5

Profit by month

Oct 2026+$136

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