rivomarkets
Polymarket

nope3050

0x6114ab1b41a31643998b1cfe021ec6562a48cff0

+$733
Tracked Trades
126
First Seen
Aug 26, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026

nope3050 is a Polymarket trader with 126 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 5 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $733 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? on Sep 28.

Win rate
83%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$146.4K
Typical trade
$820
Copy score
44/100
Polymarket rank
#1,873

Profit over time

+$733-$107
Aug 30Sep 15

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
20 to 40¢531%
40 to 60¢1447%50%+3 pts
60 to 80¢4472%100%+28 pts
Over 80¢6089%100%+11 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$501 to $65331100%+$735
$656 to $8203150%-$438
$841 to $1.3K31100%+$345
$1.4K to $5.2K30100%+$90

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics101100%+$913
Fed and rates9+$0
Economic data4+$0
Companies4+$0
Tennis350%-$180
Bitcoin2+$0

Side taken

Yes 46%54% No

If you had copied nope3050

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$94
Profit
on $600 staked
5-1
Record
83% win rate
+16%
Return
73 still open
Profit over time6 settled trades
+$94-$17
Aug 24Sep 28

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 6 so far.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

32 open positions worth $95.6K

The markets nope3050 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what nope3050 is holding

Recent positions

US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
Sep 28, 4 fills, avg 68¢
SELLNO$4.3KOpen
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Sep 28, 3 fills, avg 87¢
BUYNO$6.9KOpen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Sep 28, 2 fills, avg 77¢
SELLYES$1.5KOpen
See every position across 42 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $1.7K on Yes, Sep 15
    +$585
  2. 2
    US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen
    $605 on Frances Tiafoe, Sep 8
    +$495
  3. 3
    Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?
    $713 on Yes, Aug 30
    +$238
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?12+$0
Israel closes its airspace by September 30?11+$0
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?5+$0
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?5+$0
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?6+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$238
Sep 2026+$495

How they build positions

Trimmed a position55%
Closed a position28%
Opened a new position17%

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