Polymarketxcaiox
0x747837d9e1763345ab994e8652c8d0ba59bb4003
+$96
- Tracked Trades
- 904
- First Seen
- Jun 23, 2025
- Last Trade
- Aug 22, 2026
- Best In World politics
- 64% won · 14 settled · +$31
xcaiox is a Polymarket trader with 904 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 22 wins and 7 losses on settled markets, $96 net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 76%
- Return on settled
- +2%
- Money traded
- $94.1K
- Typical trade
- $38
- Avg entry
- 76¢
- Polymarket rank
- #5,638
Profit over time
+$96-$283
Dec 6Aug 22
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2810%
20 to 40¢4230%
40 to 60¢7751%
60 to 80¢24773%42%-31 pts
Over 80¢51087%100%+13 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1622625%-$21
$16 to $38226100%+$8
$38 to $10022667%-$93
$100 to $4.3K22688%+$201
Categories
TradesWonProfit
World politics31179%+$137
Companies2500%-$210
Other politics32100%+$34
Economic data81+$0
Tech and AI84100%+$133
Soccer81+$0
Side taken
Yes 41%59% No
If you had copied xcaiox
$100 per trade, last 90 days
-$37
Profit
on $1100 staked
10-1
Record
91% win rate
-3%
Return
51 still open
+$0-$85
Jul 6Aug 17
Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 11 so far.
By category
politics8 settled+5%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
40 open positions worth $4.1K
The markets xcaiox is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Aug 22, 8 fills
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Aug 22, 10 fills
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Aug 22, 2 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$247Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$935 on Yes at 79¢, Jan 18
- 2+$133Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026?$1.0K on No at 88¢, Aug 8
- 3+$106Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.2K on No at 92¢, Aug 22
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?79¢195+$0
Bolsonaro guilty?89¢28+$0
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31?94¢3+$0
Brazilian Supreme Court Minister Alexandre de Moraes be impeached 2025?91¢16+$0
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?80¢6+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
May 25Aug 22
Profit by month
Dec 2025-$283
Jan 2026+$247
May 2026+$120
Jun 2026-$166
Jul 2026+$12
Aug 2026+$166
Similar Polymarket traders
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