Stats as of
PolymarketWarsh-Nightmare
0x7bb7bccc02fec3d93b311695a42b251e465e44f2
+$18.7K
- Tracked Trades
- 921
- First Seen
- Jul 4, 2025
- Last Trade
- May 2, 2026
- Best In World politics
- 53% won · 17 settled · +$9.9K
Warsh-Nightmare is a Polymarket trader with 921 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 632 wins and 170 losses on settled markets, $18.7K net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 79%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $1.9M
- Typical trade
- $930
- Avg entry
- 67¢
- Polymarket rank
- #3,651
Profit over time
+$22.3K-$2.1K
Jul 4May 2
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢1535%3%-2 pts
20 to 40¢3828%14%-14 pts
40 to 60¢3148%44%-4 pts
60 to 80¢3870%77%+8 pts
Over 80¢66198%99%+2 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $23123132%-$7.3K
$232 to $93023081%-$8.9K
$931 to $2.7K23092%-$9.9K
$2.7K to $30K23099%+$44.8K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Bitcoin24992%+$1.5K
Solana16194%+$2.8K
Ethereum12094%+$1.3K
XRP7997%+$3.0K
Fed and rates2742%-$2.9K
Companies5947%+$8.9K
Side taken
Yes 35%65% No
If you had copied Warsh-Nightmare
$100 per trade, last 90 days
Nothing to simulate
We have not tracked an entry from Warsh-Nightmare in the last 90 days.
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
May 2
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?
Mar 26
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?
Mar 23
Biggest wins
- 1+$11.3KWill Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Junior Championship?$10.7K on No at 49¢, Jan 3
- 2+$8.6KRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3.3K on Yes at 28¢, Jan 22
- 3+$8.4KWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$15.6K on No at 65¢, Dec 4
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?98¢6100%+$666
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?13¢833%-$859
Will Bitcoin dip to $95K in July?97¢18100%+$1.2K
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? 91¢5100%+$2.4K
Will XRP reach $4.0 in July?97¢8100%+$924
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Feb 2May 2
Profit by month
Jul 2025+$5.6K
Aug 2025-$321
Sep 2025+$7.2K
Oct 2025-$9.4K
Nov 2025-$5.3K
Dec 2025+$11.0K
Jan 2026+$12.6K
Feb 2026-$2.7K
Mar 2026-$6
May 2026-$59
Polymarket leaderboards
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