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Stats as of

Polymarket

sbel

0xb22682e5efaaa5ae3f48c3b727cf78ae57c04163

+$659
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jul 21, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Weather
83% won · 18 settled · +$506

sbel is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 171 wins and 66 losses on settled markets, $659 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election? on Sep 29.

Win rate
72%
Return on settled
+4%
Money traded
$54.6K
Typical trade
$49
Avg entry
70¢
Polymarket rank
#2,848

Profit over time

+$659-$1.0K
Aug 3Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢515%0%-15 pts
20 to 40¢3132%38%+6 pts
40 to 60¢8151%54%+3 pts
60 to 80¢34271%70%-1 pts
Over 80¢54189%90%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$2 to $725080%+$4
$8 to $4925073%+$120
$49 to $5025072%+$93
$50 to $20025071%+$442

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Soccer42872%-$193
Weather22683%+$506
World politics6552%+$125
Other politics6481%-$65
US elections38100%+$11
Economic data28100%+$85

Side taken

Yes 0%100% No

If you had copied sbel

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$638
Profit
on $23700 staked
171-66
Record
72% win rate
+3%
Return
734 still open
Profit over time237 settled trades
+$638-$335
Jul 20Sep 28
-$798
Max drawdown
207% below peak
0.8×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.10×
Profit factor
$7.2K won vs $6.6K lost
+1.5 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 71¢ avg
Longest losing streak
4
Deepest drawdown
124 trades

By category

culture23 settled+40%
finance11 settled+24%
crypto7 settled+14%
sports148 settled-2%
politics48 settled-7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

694 open positions worth $37.1K

The markets sbel is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what sbel is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?
Sep 29
No83¢$95+$20
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?
Sep 29
No92¢$172+$15
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
Sep 29
No86¢$137+$22
See every position across 959 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned?
    $172 on No at 27¢, Sep 29
    +$461
  2. 2
    Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?
    $167 on No at 30¢, Sep 29
    +$392
  3. 3
    Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?
    $172 on No at 39¢, Sep 29
    +$267
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?65¢3+$0
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?49¢20%-$210
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?89¢2+$0
Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?81¢2+$0
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?92¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Aug 2026-$663
Sep 2026+$1.3K

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