rivomarkets

kerbrerv

0xfb650b856bd795479164e377ce0e40144d8e2dfc

+$529
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 25, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Weather
63% won · 967 settled · +$529

kerbrerv is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 611 wins and 356 losses on settled markets, $529 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4? on Oct 2.

Win rate
63%
Return on settled
+10%
Money traded
$5.7K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
46¢
Polymarket rank
#5,633

Profit over time

+$681-$185
Sep 25Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4013%25%+12 pts
20 to 40¢21331%34%+4 pts
40 to 60¢22048%52%+4 pts
60 to 80¢29471%76%+5 pts
Over 80¢23386%92%+6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $625061%-$18
$6 to $625074%+$245
$6 to $625082%+$845
$6 to $625036%-$542

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather100063%+$529

Side taken

Yes 45%55% No

If you had copied kerbrerv

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$8341
Profit
on $96700 staked
611-356
Record
63% win rate
+9%
Return
33 still open
Profit over time967 settled trades
+$8.3K-$2.0K
Sep 21Sep 28
-$4.0K
Max drawdown
508% below peak
2.1×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$43.9K won vs $35.6K lost
+5.1 pts
Edge vs implied
63% won at 58¢ avg
Longest losing streak
18
Deepest drawdown
71 trades

By category

culture967 settled+9%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

12 open positions worth $175

The markets kerbrerv is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what kerbrerv is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 4?
Oct 2, 3 fills
No64¢$18+$10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4?
Oct 2, 2 fills
No65¢$12+$6
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on October 4?
Oct 2, 2 fills
No65¢$10-$10
See every position across 300 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 1?
    $24 on Yes at 19¢, Oct 1
    +$105
  2. 2
    Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on October 1?
    $48 on Yes at 33¢, Oct 1
    +$97
  3. 3
    Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?
    $53 on Yes at 37¢, Sep 26
    +$91
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28?39¢100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 30?63¢90%-$54
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 30?79¢9100%+$15
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 30?41¢100%-$54
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28?63¢90%-$54

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$295
Oct 2026+$234

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