Bitcoin Year-End Odds: Below $20,000
Live odds on Below $20,000 for Bitcoin's year-end price from Kalshi and Polymarket US. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.
KalshiPolymarket US
Polymarket USBelow $20,000
1%median across venues
$100 pays $25,000on Kalshi, before fees
| Venue | Bid | Ask | Spread | Depth ±5¢ | Vol 24h | Vol total | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 0.2¢ | 0.4¢ | $38 | $1.5K | |||
| Polymarket US | 1¢ | 3¢ |
Buy $1,000 of Below $20,000 YES now
| Venue | Avg fill | Fee | Contracts | Pays if YES | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.2¢ | Book fills only $173 of $1,000 | Fills only $173 | ||
| Polymarket US | 3¢ | $63 | 31,228 | $31,228 | |
Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.
Price by venue
Kalshi0.4¢
0¢0.5¢1¢
Sep 24Sep 26Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1
Whale money by day, 30 days
YES $0NO $0No whale trades on Below $20,000 in this window.
Whale trades
- $2.8K8h ago
YES $95,000 to $100,000 @ 8¢
Polymarket US
- $50510h ago
YES $70,000 to $75,000 @ 10¢
Polymarket US
- $80045h ago
YES $95,000 to $100,000 @ 7¢
Polymarket US
- See all 222 whale trades
Biggest positions
- 1YES $125,000 to $130,000$17Kstrain.time
- 2YES $95,000 to $100,000$3.8Kgolf.tax
- 3YES $65,000 to $70,000$1.9Kyg400
- 4YES $70,000 to $75,000$1.8Kproskillz4
- 5YES $85,000 to $90,000$1.2KWhym3.connect
- 6YES $80,000 to $85,000$897nikhil0517
- 7YES $65,000 to $70,000$741benjibigbets
- 8YES $140,000 to $145,000$594joemunney
Order booksBelow $20,000 YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
0.4¢678$3
0.5¢481$2
0.6¢521$3
0.7¢1.3K$9
0.8¢181$1
Spread0.2¢
0.2¢165K$330
0.1¢101K$101
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
3¢148K$4.4K
4¢36$1
40¢25$10
99¢2.6K$2.6K
Spread2¢
1¢32K$325