California Governor Odds 2026
Live odds for the California governor's race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Compare every candidate's price, order book and whale bets across venues.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiXavier Becerra
95%
- 96%
- 96%
- 96%
- 98%
Steve Hilton
5%
- 5%
- 4%
- 6%
- 7%
Live odds
0%25%50%75%100%
Xavier Becerra95%Steve Hilton5%
Sep 19Oct 1Oct 13
The median price across venues, this month. Point at a name to pick out its line, or at the graph to read every candidate on that day.
| Week | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Becerra | 96% | 96% | 96% | 98% | |
| Steve Hilton | 5% | 4% | 6% | 7% |
Order booksXavier Becerra YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
95.7¢25K$23K
95.8¢99K$94K
95.9¢52K$50K
96¢50$48
96.1¢10K$9.6K
96.2¢30K$29K
96.4¢1.0K$964
Spread0.1¢
95.6¢8.7K$8.4K
95.5¢25K$24K
95.4¢41$39
95.3¢21$20
95.2¢20K$19K
95.1¢35K$33K
95¢25K$24K
94.9¢221$210
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
96¢640$614
96.2¢11$11
96.4¢22$21
96.5¢1.6K$1.5K
96.6¢4.2K$4.1K
96.7¢2.0K$1.9K
96.8¢23K$23K
96.9¢400$388
Spread0.1¢
95.9¢2.7K$2.6K
95.4¢1.9K$1.8K
95.3¢12K$11K
95.1¢500$476
95¢600$570
94.8¢50$47
94.7¢500$474
94.4¢500$472
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
96¢700K$672K
97¢304$295
98¢311$305
99¢5.0K$5.0K
Spread1¢
95¢75K$72K
94¢25K$24K
93¢264$246
92¢4.3K$3.9K
3¢200$6
2¢500K$10K
1¢38K$375
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
98¢700$686
99¢40K$40K
Spread4¢
94¢551$518
93¢430$400
1¢2.8K$28
Where to bet
- KalshiCheapest on 1 of 2 candidates
- PolymarketCheapest on 1 of 2 candidates
- Polymarket USCheapest on 0 of 2 candidates
- GeminiCheapest on 0 of 2 candidates
Whale trades
- $87225h ago
YES Steve Hilton @ 6¢
Polymarket US
- $3.1K26h ago
NO Steve Hilton @ 93.2¢
- $2.7K2d ago
NO Steve Hilton @ 96.1¢
- See all 446 whale trades
Biggest positions
Xavier Becerra is ahead at 95%, down 1 pt this week. Steve Hilton next at 5%. Kalshi carries 81% of the day's $31K volume. Whales put $184K on YES and $365K on NO in 30 days, most on Steve Hilton. Settles Nov 3, 2026.