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California Governor Odds 2026

Odds Xavier Becerra Wins the California Governor Race

Live odds on Xavier Becerra for the California governor's race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.

KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini

Xavier Becerra

95%median across venues

$100 pays $104on Kalshi, before fees

VenueBidAskSpreadDepth ±5¢Vol 24hVol totalOpen int.
Kalshi95.6¢95.7¢0.1¢$316K$17K$5.9M$2.1M
Polymarket95.9¢96¢0.1¢$49K$1.3K$2.2M
Polymarket US95¢96¢1¢$777K
Gemini94¢98¢4¢$41K

Buy $1,000 of Xavier Becerra YES now

VenueAvg fillFeeContractsPays if YES
Kalshi95.7¢$31,041$1,041
Polymarket96.2¢$21,038$1,038
Polymarket US96¢$31,038$1,039
Gemini98.3¢$11,015$1,015

Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.

Price by venue

Kalshi95.7¢Polymarket96¢Polymarket US96¢
95¢96¢97¢
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19

Whale money by day, 30 days

YES $102KNO $38K
Sep 20Today

Whale trades

  • $87225h ago

    YES Steve Hilton @ 6¢

    Polymarket US

  • $3.1K26h ago

    NO Steve Hilton @ 93.2¢

    M888

  • $2.7K2d ago

    NO Steve Hilton @ 96.1¢

    Albedo00

  • See all 446 whale trades

Biggest positions

  1. 1NO Steve Hilton$43KBuddhaYTorrance
  2. 2NO Steve Hilton$40Ksorcerer.00
  3. 3NO Steve Hilton$36KStudentMoney
  4. 4NO Steve Hilton$30Kdromedaryy
  5. 5NO Steve Hilton$30KSeutervoinen
  6. 6NO Steve Hilton$24KAngryRhino
  7. 7YES Xavier Becerra$20Kthoodr
  8. 8NO Steve Hilton$18KM888
Build a bot on this marketGet a price alert when these odds move

Order booksXavier Becerra YES

Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
95.7¢25K$23K
95.8¢99K$94K
95.9¢52K$50K
96¢50$48
96.1¢10K$9.6K
96.2¢30K$29K
96.4¢1.0K$964
Spread0.1¢
95.6¢8.7K$8.4K
95.5¢25K$24K
95.4¢41$39
95.3¢21$20
95.2¢20K$19K
95.1¢35K$33K
95¢25K$24K
94.9¢221$210
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
96¢640$614
96.2¢11$11
96.4¢22$21
96.5¢1.6K$1.5K
96.6¢4.2K$4.1K
96.7¢2.0K$1.9K
96.8¢23K$23K
96.9¢400$388
Spread0.1¢
95.9¢2.7K$2.6K
95.4¢1.9K$1.8K
95.3¢12K$11K
95.1¢500$476
95¢600$570
94.8¢50$47
94.7¢500$474
94.4¢500$472
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
96¢700K$672K
97¢304$295
98¢311$305
99¢5.0K$5.0K
Spread1¢
95¢75K$72K
94¢25K$24K
93¢264$246
92¢4.3K$3.9K
3¢200$6
2¢500K$10K
1¢38K$375
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
98¢700$686
99¢40K$40K
Spread4¢
94¢551$518
93¢430$400
1¢2.8K$28
Steve Hilton

Every candidate

  • Xavier Becerra95%
  • Steve Hilton5%
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