Odds Steve Hilton Wins the California Governor Race
Live odds on Steve Hilton for the California governor's race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiSteve Hilton
5%median across venues
$100 pays $2,632on Polymarket, before fees
| Venue | Bid | Ask | Spread | Depth ±5¢ | Vol 24h | Vol total | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.3¢ | 4.6¢ | $7.7K | $328K | |||
| Polymarket | 3.7¢ | 3.8¢ | $4.0K | ||||
| Polymarket US | 5¢ | 6¢ | |||||
| Gemini | 3¢ | 7¢ |
Buy $1,000 of Steve Hilton YES now
| Venue | Avg fill | Fee | Contracts | Pays if YES | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 4.7¢ | $63 | 19,738 | $19,738 | |
| Polymarket | 4.5¢ | $37 | 21,349 | $21,350 | |
| Polymarket US | 6¢ | $61 | 15,644 | $15,645 | |
| Gemini | 15.3¢ | Book fills only $164 of $1,000 | Fills only $164 | ||
Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.
Price by venue
Kalshi4.8¢Polymarket3.8¢Polymarket US6¢
3¢4¢5¢6¢
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
Whale money by day, 30 days
YES $74KNO $316KSep 20Today
Whale trades
- $87225h ago
YES Steve Hilton @ 6¢
Polymarket US
- $3.1K26h ago
NO Steve Hilton @ 93.2¢
- $2.7K2d ago
NO Steve Hilton @ 96.1¢
- See all 446 whale trades
Biggest positions
Order booksSteve Hilton YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
4.6¢26$1
4.7¢9.9K$466
4.8¢33K$1.6K
4.9¢100K$4.9K
5¢21K$1.1K
5.1¢15K$750
5.2¢61$3
5.3¢90$5
Spread0.3¢
4.3¢13K$547
4.2¢8.6K$360
4.1¢5.0K$205
4¢12K$477
3.9¢12K$485
3.8¢115K$4.4K
3.6¢100K$3.6K
3.5¢25K$882
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
3.8¢4.9K$186
3.9¢30$1
4.2¢1.4K$59
4.3¢1.8K$75
4.4¢3.1K$138
4.6¢250$12
4.7¢442$21
4.8¢250$12
Spread0.1¢
3.7¢417$15
3.6¢1.0K$36
1.7¢120$2
1.6¢1.8K$29
1.2¢1.9K$23
1.1¢7.5K$82
1¢5.5K$55
0.9¢6.6K$59
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
6¢208K$12K
7¢5.1K$354
8¢4.3K$344
9¢23$2
14¢18$3
95¢224$213
96¢200K$192K
98¢24$24
Spread1¢
5¢42K$2.1K
4¢211$8
3¢10K$308
2¢35$1
1¢2.5K$25
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
7¢430$30
8¢500$40
99¢86$85
Spread4¢
3¢600$18
2¢10$0
1¢40K$400