Odds Ken Paxton Wins the Texas Senate Race
Live odds on Ken Paxton for the Texas Senate race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiKen Paxton
39%median across venues−1 pts
$100 pays $263on Polymarket, before fees
| Venue | Bid | Ask | Spread | Depth ±5¢ | Vol 24h | Vol total | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 38¢ | 39¢ | $114K | $5.4M | |||
| Polymarket | 37¢ | 38¢ | $37K | ||||
| Polymarket US | 38¢ | 39¢ | |||||
| Gemini | 38¢ | 42¢ |
Buy $1,000 of Ken Paxton YES now
| Venue | Avg fill | Fee | Contracts | Pays if YES |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 39¢ | $41 | 2,459 | $2,459 |
| Polymarket | 38¢ | $24 | 2,567 | $2,568 |
| Polymarket US | 39¢ | $41 | 2,459 | $2,459 |
| Gemini | 61.3¢ | $26 | 1,588 | $1,588 |
Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.
Price by venue
Kalshi39¢Polymarket38.5¢Polymarket US39¢
36¢38¢40¢
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
Whale money by day, 30 days
YES $1.6MNO $1.2MSep 20Today
Whale trades
- $1.1K39m ago
YES Ken Paxton @ 39¢
Polymarket US
- $3.1K3h ago
NO Ken Paxton @ 62¢
- $1.2K6h ago
YES James Talarico @ 62¢
- See all 3,360 whale trades
Biggest positions
Order booksKen Paxton YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
39¢539K$210K
40¢418K$167K
41¢147K$60K
42¢114K$48K
43¢11K$4.8K
44¢2.9K$1.3K
45¢11K$5.2K
46¢3.2K$1.5K
Spread1¢
38¢230K$87K
37¢140K$52K
36¢129K$47K
35¢22K$7.7K
34¢94K$32K
33¢51K$17K
32¢80K$26K
31¢50K$16K
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
38¢24K$9.0K
39¢30K$12K
40¢143K$57K
41¢87K$36K
42¢63K$26K
43¢6.7K$2.9K
44¢5.1K$2.3K
45¢5.7K$2.6K
Spread1¢
37¢6.8K$2.5K
36¢27K$9.6K
35¢77K$27K
34¢118K$40K
33¢8.0K$2.7K
32¢728$233
31¢49K$15K
30¢50K$15K
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
39¢333K$130K
40¢5.3K$2.1K
41¢5.0K$2.1K
47¢12$6
48¢252$121
96¢12K$12K
97¢200$194
98¢500K$490K
Spread1¢
38¢284K$108K
37¢44K$16K
36¢250$90
35¢5.0K$1.8K
34¢5.0K$1.7K
30¢6$2
25¢19K$4.7K
3¢200$6
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
42¢583$245
48¢500$240
61¢30$18
99¢10K$9.9K
Spread4¢
38¢100$38
37¢539$199
35¢3.0K$1.1K
27¢75$20