rivomarkets

Stats as of

preliminary.salamander

+$1.2K
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Jun 28, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 28, 2026
Best In Tech and AI
49% won · 77 settled · +$1.3K

preliminary.salamander is a Kalshi trader with 1,000 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 56 wins and 68 losses on settled markets, $1.2K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026? on Sep 28.

Win rate
45%
Return on settled
+49%
Money traded
$61.4K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
30¢
Kalshi rank
#3,131

Profit over time

+$1.3K-$233
Jun 29Sep 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3656%13%+8 pts
20 to 40¢15130%74%+44 pts
40 to 60¢13850%58%+8 pts
60 to 80¢8971%37%-34 pts
Over 80¢25794%95%+2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $125036%-$2
$1 to $625036%+$60
$6 to $2525056%+$216
$25 to $3.7K25052%+$891

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Tech and AI73049%+$1.3K
Stocks and indices28+$0
Commodities137+$0
US elections8100%+$4
World politics7+$0
Soccer4344%-$84

Side taken

Yes 69%31% No

If you had copied preliminary.salamander

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$4506
Profit
on $8600 staked
41-45
Record
48% win rate
+52%
Return
320 still open
Profit over time86 settled trades
+$6.3K+$0
Jul 13Sep 28
-$2.7K
Max drawdown
37% below peak
1.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
2.00×
Profit factor
$9.0K won vs $4.5K lost
+13.5 pts
Edge vs implied
48% won at 34¢ avg
Longest losing streak
9
Deepest drawdown
33 trades

By category

culture76 settled+65%
crypto6 settled-100%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

31 open positions worth $7.0K

The markets preliminary.salamander is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what preliminary.salamander is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026?
Sep 28, 29 fills
Yes3¢$161-$161
Will any company announce that it has achieved Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) before Oct 1, 2026?
Sep 28, 18 fills
No99¢sold 94¢$437+$5
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?
Sep 28, 23 fills
No98¢sold 97¢$1.0KExited
See every position across 93 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026?
    $568 on Yes at 26¢, Sep 2
    +$1.7K
  2. 2
    What will be the top AI model this month?
    $141 on No at 32¢, Aug 22
    +$298
  3. 3
    What will be the top AI model this month?
    $118 on No at 82¢, Jul 28
    +$26
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Best AI on Dec 31, 2026?15¢124+$0
Best AI in Jul 2026?39¢98+$0
What will be the top AI model this month?56¢12565%-$194
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Nov 1, 2026?53¢58+$0
Will OpenAI release GPT-6 before Oct 1, 2026?26¢4095%+$1.6K

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 1Sep 28

Profit by month

Jun 2026-$53
Jul 2026-$65
Aug 2026+$1.1K
Sep 2026+$219

Kalshi leaderboards

Similar Kalshi traders

Build a bot that copies preliminary.salamander.

Bring preliminary.salamander into the builder. Choose your size and review the backtest. Track new trades on paper or enable supported live copying through your own Kalshi account. Set your limits and inspect each execution from the bot dashboard.