rivomarkets
Kalshi

spicy.salamander

+$9.9K
Tracked Trades
1,085
First Seen
Jul 5, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 19, 2026
Followers
3

spicy.salamander is a Kalshi trader with 1,085 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 233 wins and 213 losses on settled markets, $9.9K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Chicago C wins on Sep 19.

Win rate
52%
Return on settled
+19%
Money traded
$105.4K
Typical trade
$48
Copy score
48/100
Kalshi rank
#679

Profit over time

+$9.9K-$1.8K
Jul 5Sep 19

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢24410%11%+2 pts
20 to 40¢25031%30%-1 pts
40 to 60¢53350%55%+5 pts
60 to 80¢5362%100%+38 pts
Over 80¢588%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $1127250%-$32
$12 to $4827141%-$222
$48 to $14527163%+$2.1K
$145 to $1.4K27154%+$8.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Sports2100%+$1.3K

Side taken

Yes 85%15% No

If you had copied spicy.salamander

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$3271
Profit
on $44600 staked
233-213
Record
52% win rate
+7%
Return
483 still open
Profit over time446 settled trades
+$3.7K-$1.1K
Jun 29Sep 14
-$4.5K
Max drawdown
87% below peak
0.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.15×
Profit factor
$24.6K won vs $21.3K lost
+5.9 pts
Edge vs implied
52% won at 46¢ avg
Longest losing streak
30
Deepest drawdown
189 trades

By category

other444 settled+7%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

316 open positions worth $43.1K

The markets spicy.salamander is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what spicy.salamander is holding

Recent positions

Chicago C wins
Sep 19, avg 57¢
BUYYES$739+$557
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points
Sep 19, avg 92¢
SELLNO$1.3KOpen
Movistar KOI wins map 4
Sep 18, 5 fills, avg 57¢
BUYYES$179+$133
See every position across 523 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    yes Tampa Bay,yes Milwaukee,yes Seattle,yes Boston
    $235 on Yes, Sep 16
    +$1.8K
  2. 2
    Detroit wins
    $830 on Yes, Sep 3
    +$1.1K
  3. 3
    Boston vs Toronto Winner?
    $1.5K on Yes, Aug 13
    +$957
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Arizona wins2550%+$985
Boston wins1792%+$2.4K
Chicago WS wins1360%+$345
Chicago C wins1358%+$237
yes Petr Bar Biryukov,yes Yu Hsiou Hsu,yes Yun Seong Chung,yes Shunsuke Mitsui,yes Sunam Jeong,yes Ya Yi Yang,yes Los Angeles A wins by over 13.5 runs,yes HOU Texans,yes SF 49ers,yes Atlanta wins by over 12.5 points,yes Las Vegas wins by over 3.5 points2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 22Sep 19

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$1.3K
Aug 2026+$3.7K
Sep 2026+$7.4K

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