rivomarkets
Polymarket

liq2

0x3423c5cc44b93ae9fedf8d6a25f45a0e9d15fe57

+$120
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 4, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 29, 2026
Best In Fed and rates
54% won · 37 settled · +$386

liq2 is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 170 wins and 250 losses on settled markets, $120 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026? on Sep 29.

Win rate
40%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$27.1K
Typical trade
$8
Avg entry
44¢
Polymarket rank
#3,376

Profit over time

+$418-$329
Sep 4Sep 29

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢4375%1%-3 pts
20 to 40¢9829%32%+3 pts
40 to 60¢8450%65%+15 pts
60 to 80¢11271%92%+21 pts
Over 80¢26996%97%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $12501%-$60
$1 to $825016%-$222
$8 to $3425061%+$151
$34 to $59925086%+$251

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other politics56147%-$346
Fed and rates11554%+$386
Entertainment16625%+$116
World politics9143%-$36
Parlays6+$0
Weather38+$0

Side taken

Yes 78%22% No

If you had copied liq2

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$15670
Profit
on $42000 staked
170-250
Record
40% win rate
-37%
Return
555 still open
Profit over time420 settled trades
+$0-$15.7K
Aug 31Sep 28
-$16.0K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.37×
Profit factor
$9.3K won vs $25.0K lost
+3.4 pts
Edge vs implied
40% won at 37¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
411 trades

By category

politics12 settled-18%
culture406 settled-39%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

257 open positions worth $16.7K

The markets liq2 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what liq2 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 25 to October 2, 2026?
Sep 29, 4 fills
Yes22¢$40Open
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
Sep 29, 3 fills
Yes19¢$49+$206
Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting?
Sep 29, 3 fills
Yes17¢$43-$43
See every position across 351 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
    $945 on Yes at 75¢, Sep 12
    +$318
  2. 2
    Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?
    $49 on Yes at 19¢, Sep 29
    +$206
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026?
    $440 on Yes at 69¢, Sep 28
    +$194
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?75¢27100%+$318
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?98¢3+$0
Will White House post 120-139 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?100¢5+$0
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026?48¢176%-$649
Will White House post 200+ posts from September 22 to September 29, 2026?91¢16+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 2Sep 29

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$120

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