Stats as of
PolymarketGustav4
0x471abf0558dcd381dcea2fdf54390760c9a30328
+$8.5K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,002
- First Seen
- Mar 4, 2026
- Last Trade
- Aug 29, 2026
- Best In Other politics
- 74% won · 467 settled · +$8.4K
Gustav4 is a Polymarket trader with 1,002 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 367 wins and 124 losses on settled markets, $8.5K net profit on those trades.
- Win rate
- 75%
- Return on settled
- +1%
- Money traded
- $1.1M
- Typical trade
- $105
- Avg entry
- 92¢
- Polymarket rank
- #7,056
Profit over time
+$9.0K-$366
Mar 5Aug 29
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢2455%8%+3 pts
20 to 40¢11130%33%+3 pts
40 to 60¢7550%63%+13 pts
60 to 80¢20071%79%+7 pts
Over 80¢37196%99%+3 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $2925130%+$1.5K
$29 to $10525166%+$1.5K
$106 to $37425083%+$2.7K
$377 to $40K25094%+$2.7K
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Other politics100275%+$8.5K
Side taken
Yes 28%72% No
If you had copied Gustav4
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$441
Profit
on $6500 staked
46-19
Record
71% win rate
+7%
Return
6 still open
+$1.8K+$0
Jul 13Aug 24
-$1.6K
Max drawdown
78% below peak
0.3×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.23×
Profit factor
$2.3K won vs $1.9K lost
-4.0 pts
Edge vs implied
71% won at 75¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 4
- Deepest drawdown
- 46 trades
By category
politics63 settled+9%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $11.9K
The markets Gustav4 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
Aug 29, 2 fills
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
Aug 29
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026?
Aug 29
Biggest wins
- 1+$2.7KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?$9.6K on No at 78¢, Mar 20
- 2+$2.0KWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$723 on Yes at 26¢, Mar 10
- 3+$1.4KWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$42.2K on No at 97¢, Mar 10
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?97¢12100%+$1.4K
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?99¢450%+$14
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 23 to March 25, 2026?100¢250%+$38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?100¢1+$0
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?99¢2+$0
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jun 1Aug 29
Profit by month
Mar 2026+$5.8K
Apr 2026+$426
May 2026+$77
Jun 2026+$331
Jul 2026+$2.4K
Aug 2026-$479
Polymarket leaderboards
Similar Polymarket traders
Build a bot that copies Gustav4.
Bring Gustav4 into the builder and test their record at your size. Run a paper bot to follow new trades. Enable trader alerts independently to keep up through Telegram and the app. Place supported manual trades through your connected wallet.