rivomarkets
Polymarket

NotTheSharpestTool

0x626ecb3e147226e19aa6a14d99e6dfa02848fa46

+$32.3K
Tracked Trades
1,026
First Seen
Jun 25, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 17, 2026
Best In Other culture
44% won · 79 settled · +$32.3K

NotTheSharpestTool is a Polymarket trader with 1,026 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 35 wins and 44 losses on settled markets, $32.3K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? on Sep 17.

Win rate
44%
Return on settled
+127%
Money traded
$56.0K
Typical trade
$8
Copy score
34/100
Polymarket rank
#527

Profit over time

+$32.3K-$300
Jul 10Sep 10

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢34410%0%-10 pts
20 to 40¢21630%100%+70 pts
40 to 60¢19149%100%+51 pts
60 to 80¢8871%100%+29 pts
Over 80¢18790%

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $42570%-$6
$4 to $82570%-$87
$8 to $2625615%-$233
$27 to $2.0K25671%+$32.6K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Other culture102644%+$32.3K

Side taken

Yes 66%34% No

If you had copied NotTheSharpestTool

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$814
Profit
on $7900 staked
35-44
Record
44% win rate
+10%
Return
473 still open
Profit over time79 settled trades
+$824-$1.3K
Jun 29Sep 14
-$1.4K
Max drawdown
never got above break-even
0.6×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
1.19×
Profit factor
$5.2K won vs $4.4K lost
+23.7 pts
Edge vs implied
44% won at 21¢ avg
Longest losing streak
14
Deepest drawdown
14 trades

By category

finance28 settled+150%
culture51 settled-66%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

51 open positions worth $21.7K

The markets NotTheSharpestTool is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what NotTheSharpestTool is holding

Recent positions

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
Sep 17, 2 fills, avg 1¢
BUYYES$67Open
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 10, 37 fills, avg 1¢
BUYYES$867-$867
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Sep 10, 35 fills, avg 45¢
BUYYES$24.3K+$33.4K
See every position across 87 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $24.3K on Yes, Sep 10
    +$33.4K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?35100%+$33.4K
Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?8+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?75+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?111+$0
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?94+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 20Sep 17

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$223
Aug 2026+$20.4K
Sep 2026+$12.1K

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