rivomarkets

ExhaustedBoyBilly

0x96b59f71f635da5da031e3e93448c54fe226f5e7

+$2.3K
Tracked Trades
1,005
First Seen
Feb 2, 2025
Last Trade
Aug 30, 2026

ExhaustedBoyBilly is a Polymarket trader with 1,005 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 6 wins and 1 losses on settled markets, $2.3K net profit on those trades.

Win rate
86%
Return on settled
+7%
Money traded
$2.4M
Typical trade
$8
Copy score
49/100
Polymarket rank
#1,682

Profit over time

+$2.3K-$2.6K
Aug 25Aug 28

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢3712%
20 to 40¢4530%
40 to 60¢4750%100%+50 pts
60 to 80¢4871%
Over 80¢49495%50%-45 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $0252+$0
$1 to $8251+$0
$8 to $425251+$0
$427 to $100K25186%+$2.3K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Fed and rates83100%+$4.9K
World politics2020%-$2.8K
Economic data57+$0
Weather5+$0
Bitcoin71+$0
Commodities7100%+$203

Side taken

Yes 49%51% No

If you had copied ExhaustedBoyBilly

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$442
Profit
on $700 staked
6-1
Record
86% win rate
+63%
Return
4 still open
Profit over time7 settled trades
+$442+$0
Jul 6Aug 24

Drawdown and edge need 20 settled trades to mean anything. 7 so far.

By category

finance5 settled+108%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

3 open positions worth $92.9K

The markets ExhaustedBoyBilly is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what ExhaustedBoyBilly is holding

Recent positions

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Aug 30, 3 fills, avg 49¢
SELLYES$4.7KOpen
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Aug 28, 5 fills, avg 48¢
BUYYES$4.5K+$4.9K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Aug 25, avg 92¢
BUYNO$9.2KOpen
See every position across 690 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
    $4.5K on Yes, Aug 28
    +$4.9K
  2. 2
    Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?
    $25.1K on No, Aug 25
    +$203
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

TradesWonProfit
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?9+$0
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?3+$0
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?12+$0
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.34ºC in January 2025?1+$0
No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?4+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 2Aug 30

Profit by month

Aug 2026+$2.3K

How they build positions

Opened a new position40%
Trimmed a position40%
Closed a position20%

Similar Polymarket traders

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