rivomarkets

Stats as of

kirby26

0xa0d3909f97ef568bd7089c16c1f5ac6617145b5e

-$31
Tracked Trades
1,010
First Seen
Jul 18, 2026
Last Trade
Sep 21, 2026
Best In Tennis
48% won · 62 settled · +$409

kirby26 is a Polymarket trader with 1,010 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 460 wins and 455 losses on settled markets, -$31 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will Rishi Sharma win the 2026 Saanich mayoral election? on Sep 21.

Win rate
50%
Return on settled
+-0%
Money traded
$28.9K
Typical trade
$6
Avg entry
41¢
Polymarket rank
#3,145

Profit over time

+$46-$716
Jul 18Sep 17

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢14612%13%+1 pts
20 to 40¢24130%28%-2 pts
40 to 60¢17950%46%-3 pts
60 to 80¢23270%67%-2 pts
Over 80¢21288%86%-2 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $425342%+$88
$4 to $625350%-$117
$6 to $1325253%-$295
$13 to $4.5K25257%+$293

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Economic data2064%+$62
Fed and rates4653%-$323
Weather37557%-$369
Soccer4663%-$47
Other politics9337%+$263
Esports7350%+$260

Side taken

Yes 37%63% No

If you had copied kirby26

$100 per trade, last 90 days

-$1411
Profit
on $78500 staked
391-394
Record
50% win rate
-2%
Return
77 still open
Profit over time785 settled trades
+$0-$4.1K
Jul 20Sep 21
-$6.4K
Max drawdown
415% below peak
—
Return / drawdown
no profit to weigh yet
0.96×
Profit factor
$38.0K won vs $39.4K lost
-1.7 pts
Edge vs implied
50% won at 52¢ avg
Longest losing streak
12
Deepest drawdown
301 trades

By category

politics115 settled+7%
culture323 settled-0%
sports238 settled-2%
finance109 settled-14%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

45 open positions worth $4.4K

The markets kirby26 is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what kirby26 is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Sep 18, 4 fills
No85¢sold 88¢$27Exited
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
Sep 17
Aurora Gaming47¢$3+$3
Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5
Sep 16
Over57¢$5-$5
See every position across 714 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
    $647 on No at 48¢, Aug 28
    +$700
  2. 2
    Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
    $749 on Arthur Fils at 65¢, Aug 23
    +$404
  3. 3
    Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
    $78 on Yes at 17¢, Aug 2
    +$380
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?3+$0
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?93¢6+$0
Fed rate hike in 2026?48¢40%-$134
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?87¢1+$0
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?57¢1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jun 24Sep 21

Profit by month

Jul 2026-$430
Aug 2026+$410
Sep 2026-$11

How they build positions

Trimmed a position80%
Closed a position20%

Polymarket leaderboards

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