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Stats as of

Kettle

0xb4f2310271b208f35b543bde10522db44cf67851

+$102.5K
Tracked Trades
446
First Seen
Dec 17, 2024
Last Trade
Aug 2, 2026
Best In World politics
69% won ยท 62 settled ยท +$84.6K

Kettle is a Polymarket trader with 446 trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 89 wins and 50 losses on settled markets, $102.5K net profit on those trades.

Win rate
64%
Return on settled
+14%
Money traded
$910.7K
Typical trade
$49
Avg entry
62ยข
Polymarket rank
#3,893

Profit over time

+$119.4K-$1.4K
Dec 17Aug 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20ยข2162%22%+20 pts
20 to 40ยข3230%9%-21 pts
40 to 60ยข3549%80%+31 pts
60 to 80ยข3769%90%+21 pts
Over 80ยข12696%89%-6 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $11120%-$3
$1 to $5011240%-$145
$51 to $93311161%+$638
$940 to $164K11174%+$102.0K

Categories

TradesWonProfit
World politics13769%+$84.6K
Companies3189%+$12.4K
Other politics21100%+$10.7K
Bitcoin4100%+$234
US elections1950%+$7.4K
US politics3389%+$6.6K

Side taken

Yes 62%38% No

If you had copied Kettle

$100 per trade, last 90 days

Not enough settled trades to score yet

4 of 5 needed have resolved.

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will Michael Gagliano Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
Aug 2
Yes15ยข$745-$745
Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event?
Aug 2
No66ยข$16.1K-$16.1K
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
Jul 31, 2 fills
No33ยข$3.6K+$7.5K
See every position across 281 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
    $9.0K on Yes at 19ยข, Jun 11
    +$38.6K
  2. 2
    US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
    $27.5K on Yes at 52ยข, Apr 7
    +$25.0K
  3. 3
    Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
    $28.2K on Yes at 56ยข, Jul 15
    +$22.2K
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?100ยข1100%+$164
Will Bitcoin dip to $90k in May?100ยข1100%+$234
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?89ยข30%-$44.3K
Maduro out in 2025?87ยข1100%+$6.6K
Was JFK assassination an inside job?1+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

May 5Aug 2

Profit by month

Jun 2025+$9.8K
Jul 2025+$9.2K
Nov 2025+$10.4K
Dec 2025-$2.5K
Jan 2026+$12.6K
Feb 2026+$3.5K
Mar 2026-$8.9K
Apr 2026+$30.5K
May 2026-$30.8K
Jun 2026+$44.5K
Jul 2026+$29.9K
Aug 2026-$16.9K

Polymarket leaderboards

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