Polymarketwagonwheel
0xf9e1aa52914cbc4e88274a04adea7f53248f0458
+$1.4K
- Tracked Trades
- 1,000
- First Seen
- Sep 22, 2026
- Last Trade
- Oct 1, 2026
- Best In Stocks and indices
- 59% won · 660 settled · +$1.4K
wagonwheel is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 387 wins and 273 losses on settled markets, $1.4K net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1? on Oct 1.
- Win rate
- 59%
- Return on settled
- +30%
- Money traded
- $7.9K
- Typical trade
- $6
- Avg entry
- 48¢
- Polymarket rank
- #2,493
Profit over time
+$2.1K-$132
Sep 22Oct 1
Win rate against the odds
PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
Under 20¢6712%76%+65 pts
20 to 40¢19432%67%+35 pts
40 to 60¢22250%67%+17 pts
60 to 80¢20768%70%+3 pts
Over 80¢13184%90%+7 pts
Results by bet size
TradesWonProfit
$0 to $320667%+$618
$3 to $620576%+$502
$6 to $1120582%+$569
$11 to $15820562%+$409
Categories
TradesWonProfit
Stocks and indices82172%+$2.1K
Side taken
Yes 0%100% No
If you had copied wagonwheel
$100 per trade, last 90 days
+$50156
Profit
on $54000 staked
387-153
Record
72% win rate
+93%
Return
6 still open
+$50.2K+$0
Sep 21Sep 28
-$4.7K
Max drawdown
19% below peak
10.7×
Return / drawdown
profit per $1 of the dip
4.28×
Profit factor
$65.5K won vs $15.3K lost
+18.9 pts
Edge vs implied
72% won at 53¢ avg
- Longest losing streak
- 28
- Deepest drawdown
- 80 trades
By category
finance540 settled+93%
Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.
Open positions
2 open positions worth $59
The markets wagonwheel is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.
Recent positions
MarketSideEntryAmountResult
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 1?
Oct 1, 9 fills
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1?
Oct 1, 27 fills
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?
Sep 30, 45 fills
Biggest wins
- 1+$911S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?$446 on Down at 33¢, Sep 22
- 2+$533S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?$698 on Down at 57¢, Sep 24
- 3+$524S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?$122 on Down at 19¢, Sep 30
Most traded markets
EntryTradesWonProfit
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 24?53¢12799%+$499
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 24?55¢8289%+$270
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 30?39¢9349%+$216
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 22?35¢11683%+$810
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?48¢9624%-$231
When they trade
Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm
Activity, last 90 days
Jul 4Oct 1
Profit by month
Sep 2026+$1.9K
Oct 2026+$172
Similar Polymarket traders
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