Iowa Senate Odds 2026
Live odds for the Iowa Senate race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Compare every candidate's price, order book and whale bets across venues.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiAshley Hinson
58%
- 58%
- 59%
- 59%
- 63%
Josh Turek
42%
−1 pts
- 44%
- 43%
- 42%
- 45%
Live odds
40%45%50%55%60%
Ashley Hinson58%Josh Turek42%
Sep 19Oct 1Oct 13
The median price across venues, this month. Point at a name to pick out its line, or at the graph to read every candidate on that day.
| Week | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashley Hinson | 58% | 59% | 59% | 63% | |
| Josh Turek | 44% | 43% | 42% | 45% |
Order booksAshley Hinson YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
58¢53K$31K
59¢17K$9.9K
60¢20K$12K
61¢25K$16K
62¢11K$7.0K
63¢4.1K$2.6K
64¢185$119
65¢178$116
Spread1¢
57¢740$422
56¢22K$12K
55¢6.8K$3.8K
54¢387$209
53¢3.1K$1.6K
52¢4.8K$2.5K
51¢50K$26K
50¢632$316
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
59¢56K$33K
60¢39K$23K
61¢72K$44K
62¢24K$15K
63¢6.4K$4.1K
64¢226$144
65¢10K$6.5K
72¢400$288
Spread1¢
58¢13K$7.5K
57¢27K$15K
56¢15K$8.3K
55¢6.7K$3.7K
54¢8.3K$4.5K
53¢470$249
52¢296$154
51¢5.0K$2.5K
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
59¢291K$172K
60¢183$110
61¢5.0K$3.0K
62¢5.0K$3.1K
67¢5$3
93¢2.8K$2.6K
94¢200$188
95¢100K$95K
Spread1¢
58¢58K$34K
57¢37K$21K
56¢6.0K$3.4K
55¢5.0K$2.8K
54¢1$1
50¢7$4
8¢21K$1.7K
7¢200$14
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
63¢500$315
69¢500$345
Spread6¢
57¢100$57
51¢500$255
Where to bet
- KalshiCheapest on 1 of 2 candidates
- Polymarket USCheapest on 1 of 2 candidates
- PolymarketCheapest on 0 of 2 candidates
- GeminiCheapest on 0 of 2 candidates
Whale trades
- $1.8K4h ago
YES Ashley Hinson @ 59¢
Polymarket US
- $5904h ago
YES Ashley Hinson @ 59¢
Polymarket US
- $6.1K4h ago
YES Ashley Hinson @ 59¢
Polymarket US
- See all 576 whale trades
Biggest positions
Ashley Hinson is ahead at 58%, up 1 pt this week. Josh Turek next at 42%. Kalshi carries 52% of the day's $24K volume. Whales put $681K on YES and $573K on NO in 30 days, most on Josh Turek. Settles Nov 3, 2026.