Michigan Senate Odds 2026
Live odds for the Michigan Senate race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Compare every candidate's price, order book and whale bets across venues.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiAbdul El-Sayed
69%
+1 pts
- 69%
- 71%
- 68%
- 69%
Mike Rogers
32%
−1 pts
- 32%
- 31%
- 33%
- 32%
Live odds
30%40%50%60%70%
Abdul El-Sayed69%Mike Rogers32%
Sep 19Oct 1Oct 13
The median price across venues, this month. Point at a name to pick out its line, or at the graph to read every candidate on that day.
| Week | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 69% | 71% | 68% | 69% | |
| Mike Rogers | 32% | 31% | 33% | 32% |
Order booksAbdul El-Sayed YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
69¢96K$66K
70¢29K$20K
71¢1.1K$795
72¢16K$12K
73¢6.5K$4.8K
74¢7.2K$5.3K
75¢8.1K$6.0K
76¢8.1K$6.2K
Spread1¢
68¢622$423
67¢58K$39K
66¢3.3K$2.2K
65¢3.5K$2.3K
64¢4.3K$2.7K
63¢650$410
62¢600$372
61¢2.6K$1.6K
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
71¢25K$18K
72¢55K$40K
73¢155K$113K
74¢103K$76K
75¢5.2K$3.9K
76¢11K$8.1K
77¢5.0K$3.9K
78¢5.0K$3.9K
Spread1¢
70¢307$215
69¢48K$33K
68¢34K$23K
67¢22K$14K
66¢2.5K$1.7K
65¢21K$14K
64¢8$5
63¢208$131
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
68¢39K$27K
69¢2.9K$2.0K
70¢309$216
71¢7.6K$5.4K
73¢5.0K$3.6K
74¢5.5K$4.1K
76¢5$4
93¢15K$14K
Spread1¢
67¢273K$183K
66¢56K$37K
64¢1$1
60¢9$5
59¢7$4
46¢22$10
45¢2.0K$909
3¢200$6
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
69¢1.1K$731
70¢1.3K$933
71¢110$78
73¢67$49
75¢94$71
80¢30$24
Spread3¢
66¢1.0K$660
65¢745$484
64¢1.5K$991
62¢67$42
60¢66$40
1¢5.0K$50
Where to bet
- PolymarketCheapest on 1 of 2 candidates
- Polymarket USCheapest on 1 of 2 candidates
- KalshiCheapest on 0 of 2 candidates
- GeminiCheapest on 0 of 2 candidates
Whale trades
- $4.5K6h ago
YES Abdul El-Sayed @ 70¢
- $4.5K6h ago
YES Abdul El-Sayed @ 70¢
- $3.4K10h ago
YES Abdul El-Sayed @ 69¢
- See all 1,072 whale trades
Biggest positions
Abdul El-Sayed is ahead at 69%, up 1 pt this week. Mike Rogers next at 32%. Kalshi carries 71% of the day's $123K volume. Whales put $705K on YES and $534K on NO in 30 days, most on Abdul El-Sayed. Settles Nov 3, 2026.