rivomarkets

Halfa-Beta

0x087832036d877284a544d4b4d45bc0ce27a97b50

+$50
Tracked Trades
1,000
First Seen
Sep 16, 2026
Last Trade
Oct 2, 2026
Best In Weather
100% won · 98 settled · +$42

Halfa-Beta is a Polymarket trader with 1,000 large trades tracked by RivoMarkets, 117 wins and 0 losses on settled markets, $50 net profit on those trades. Most recent public trade: Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or below on October 2? on Oct 2.

Win rate
100%
Return on settled
+1%
Money traded
$72.8K
Typical trade
$41
Avg entry
100¢
Polymarket rank
#2,798

Profit over time

+$48+$0
Sep 20Oct 2

Win rate against the odds

PaidTradesImpliedWonEdge
40 to 60¢652%
60 to 80¢365%
Over 80¢94699%100%+1 pts

Results by bet size

TradesWonProfit
$0 to $15239100%+$8
$15 to $41239100%+$9
$41 to $100239100%+$4
$100 to $500238100%+$28

Categories

TradesWonProfit
Weather930100%+$40
World politics20100%+$8
Commodities4100%+$0
Soccer1100%+$0

Side taken

Yes 6%94% No

If you had copied Halfa-Beta

$100 per trade, last 90 days

+$156
Profit
on $10300 staked
103-0
Record
100% win rate
+2%
Return
849 still open
Profit over time103 settled trades
+$156+$0
Sep 14Sep 28
None
Max drawdown
never fell below its peak
—
Return / drawdown
no dip to weigh against
—
Profit factor
nothing lost yet
+1.4 pts
Edge vs implied
100% won at 99¢ avg
Longest losing streak
0
Deepest drawdown
0 trades

By category

politics17 settled+4%
culture84 settled+1%

Tracked entries, settled markets. No fees or slippage.

Open positions

724 open positions worth $64.6K

The markets Halfa-Beta is in right now, the side, the size and the price paid. Subscribers see each one as it opens and can copy it in one click.

See what Halfa-Beta is holding

Recent positions

MarketSideEntryAmountResult
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or below on October 2?
Oct 2
No100¢$215+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 2?
Oct 2
No99¢$10+$0
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 83°F or below on October 3?
Oct 2, 3 fills
No100¢$95Open
See every position across 793 markets

Biggest wins

  1. 1
    Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on September 20?
    $183 on Yes at 91¢, Sep 20
    +$18
  2. 2
    US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
    $95 on No at 97¢, Sep 30
    +$3
  3. 3
    US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?
    $87 on Yes at 96¢, Sep 30
    +$3
See all of their wins

Most traded markets

EntryTradesWonProfit
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 18?100¢2+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 17?100¢1+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 19?100¢1+$0
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on September 29?100¢3+$0
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C or below on September 28?100¢2+$0

When they trade

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12am6am12pm6pm11pm

Activity, last 90 days

Jul 5Oct 2

Profit by month

Sep 2026+$47
Oct 2026+$0

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