Odds Dan Sullivan Wins the Alaska Senate Race
Live odds on Dan Sullivan for the Alaska Senate race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiDan Sullivan
26%median across venues+1 pts
$100 pays $385on Kalshi, before fees
| Venue | Bid | Ask | Spread | Depth ±5¢ | Vol 24h | Vol total | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 25¢ | 26¢ | $1.6K | $232K | |||
| Polymarket | 26¢ | 27¢ | $5.7K | ||||
| Polymarket US | 25¢ | 26¢ | |||||
| Gemini | 29¢ | 30¢ |
Buy $1,000 of Dan Sullivan YES now
| Venue | Avg fill | Fee | Contracts | Pays if YES | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 26¢ | $49 | 3,656 | $3,656 | |
| Polymarket | 27¢ | $28 | 3,598 | $3,599 | |
| Polymarket US | 26¢ | $49 | 3,658 | $3,658 | |
| Gemini | 30.9¢ | Book fills only $226 of $1,000 | Fills only $226 | ||
Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.
Price by venue
Kalshi26¢Polymarket26.5¢Polymarket US26¢
25¢26¢27¢28¢29¢
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19
Whale money by day, 30 days
YES $161KNO $299KSep 20Today
Whale trades
- $62038h ago
YES Mary Peltola @ 74¢
Polymarket US
- $2.9K3d ago
YES Dan Sullivan @ 25¢
- $6823d ago
NO Dan Sullivan @ 74¢
Polymarket US
- See all 874 whale trades
Biggest positions
- 1YES Mary Peltola$138Kscottilicious
- 2NO Dan Sullivan$92K0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8
- 3NO Mary Peltola$36K0xF30F7e57080d333ff35558A78719bea46B7dfa3E-1778956766753
- 4NO Mary Peltola$35Klomneivan
- 5YES Mary Peltola$34KPolBandit
- 6NO Dan Sullivan$31Kgopfan2
- 7YES Mary Peltola$27KValen9
- 8YES Dan Sullivan$27KBreakTheBank
Order booksDan Sullivan YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
26¢230K$60K
27¢5.7K$1.5K
28¢390$109
29¢278K$81K
30¢5.0K$1.5K
33¢10K$3.3K
Spread1¢
25¢7.6K$1.9K
24¢42K$10K
23¢39K$9.1K
22¢3.4K$738
20¢1.4K$273
17¢4.5K$762
12¢903$108
11¢447$49
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
27¢60K$16K
28¢56K$16K
29¢29K$8.3K
30¢36K$11K
31¢5.2K$1.6K
32¢5.3K$1.7K
33¢5.0K$1.7K
34¢5.0K$1.7K
Spread1¢
26¢11$3
25¢121K$30K
24¢148K$35K
23¢146K$34K
22¢45K$9.8K
21¢225$47
20¢125$25
19¢42$8
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
26¢288K$75K
27¢16K$4.3K
28¢6.9K$1.9K
29¢5.0K$1.4K
34¢8$3
40¢1$0
97¢3.6K$3.5K
98¢200$196
Spread1¢
25¢540K$135K
24¢5.2K$1.2K
22¢1$0
17¢4$1
2¢23K$469
1¢28K$275
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
30¢500$150
31¢67$21
33¢67$22
35¢66$23
Spread1¢
29¢918$266
25¢100$25
22¢67$15
20¢67$13
18¢66$12
17¢11$2