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Alaska Senate Odds 2026

Odds Mary Peltola Wins the Alaska Senate Race

Live odds on Mary Peltola for the Alaska Senate race from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.

KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini

Mary Peltola

74%median across venues

$100 pays $135on Polymarket, before fees

VenueBidAskSpreadDepth ±5¢Vol 24hVol totalOpen int.
Kalshi74¢75¢1¢$79K$1.4K$865K$471K
Polymarket73¢74¢1¢$428K$2.7K$839K
Polymarket US73¢74¢1¢$570K
Gemini73¢77¢4¢$798

Buy $1,000 of Mary Peltola YES now

VenueAvg fillFeeContractsPays if YES
Kalshi75¢$171,310$1,310
Polymarket74¢$101,337$1,337
Polymarket US74¢$181,327$1,327
Gemini77.8¢Book fills only $642 of $1,000Fills only $642

Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.

Price by venue

Kalshi75¢Polymarket73.5¢Polymarket US74¢
72¢73¢74¢75¢
Oct 12Oct 14Oct 15Oct 17Oct 19

Whale money by day, 30 days

YES $530KNO $346K
Sep 20Today

Whale trades

  • $62036h ago

    YES Mary Peltola @ 74¢

    Polymarket US

  • $2.9K3d ago

    YES Dan Sullivan @ 25¢

    ResolvedFM

  • $6823d ago

    NO Dan Sullivan @ 74¢

    Polymarket US

  • See all 857 whale trades

Biggest positions

  1. 1YES Mary Peltola$138Kscottilicious
  2. 2NO Dan Sullivan$92K0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac8
  3. 3NO Mary Peltola$36K0xF30F7e57080d333ff35558A78719bea46B7dfa3E-1778956766753
  4. 4NO Mary Peltola$35Klomneivan
  5. 5YES Mary Peltola$34KPolBandit
  6. 6NO Dan Sullivan$31Kgopfan2
  7. 7YES Mary Peltola$27KValen9
  8. 8YES Dan Sullivan$27KDo-Not-Redeem
Build a bot on this marketGet a price alert when these odds move

Order booksMary Peltola YES

Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
75¢2.9K$2.2K
76¢30K$23K
77¢8.0K$6.2K
78¢105$82
79¢131$104
80¢1.1K$877
81¢212$172
Spread1¢
74¢54K$40K
73¢1.0K$754
72¢35$25
71¢5.0K$3.5K
70¢3.7K$2.6K
69¢31$21
68¢25K$17K
67¢21$14
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
74¢28K$21K
75¢80K$60K
76¢241K$183K
77¢95K$73K
78¢6.3K$4.9K
79¢5.5K$4.3K
80¢5.0K$4.0K
81¢5.0K$4.1K
Spread1¢
73¢40K$29K
72¢16K$11K
71¢26K$18K
70¢28K$19K
69¢227$157
68¢4.2K$2.9K
66¢1.0K$660
63¢1.0K$630
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
74¢13K$9.9K
75¢81K$61K
76¢92K$70K
78¢1$1
96¢25K$24K
98¢200$196
99¢30K$30K
Spread1¢
73¢577K$421K
72¢5.1K$3.7K
71¢5.0K$3.6K
65¢7$5
3¢4.6K$139
2¢200$4
1¢38K$375
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
77¢600$462
78¢67$52
79¢13$10
80¢67$54
82¢66$54
Spread4¢
73¢100$73
70¢67$47
68¢67$46
66¢66$44
Dan Sullivan

Every candidate

  • Mary Peltola74%
  • Dan Sullivan26%
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