Fed Rate Decision Odds: No change
Live odds on No change for the Fed's next rate decision from Kalshi, Polymarket, Polymarket US and Gemini. Bid, ask and order book on each venue, with price history and whale bets.
KalshiPolymarketPolymarket USGemini
Polymarket
GeminiNo change
65%median across venues+9 pts
$100 pays $152on Kalshi, before fees
| Venue | Bid | Ask | Spread | Depth ±5¢ | Vol 24h | Vol total | Open int. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 65¢ | 66¢ | $295K | $583K | |||
| Polymarket | 65¢ | 66¢ | $506K | ||||
| Polymarket US | 65¢ | 66¢ | |||||
| Gemini | 63¢ | 67¢ |
Buy $1,000 of No change YES now
| Venue | Avg fill | Fee | Contracts | Pays if YES | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 66¢ | $23 | 1,479 | $1,479 | |
| Polymarket | 66¢ | $17 | 1,489 | $1,490 | |
| Polymarket US | 66¢ | $23 | 1,480 | $1,480 | |
| Gemini | 67.7¢ | Book fills only $606 of $1,000 | Fills only $606 | ||
Walks each venue's live asks with its own taker fee. Green is the most payout for the money.
Price by venue
Kalshi66¢Polymarket65.5¢Polymarket US66¢Gemini66¢
30¢40¢50¢60¢70¢
Sep 24Sep 26Sep 27Sep 29Oct 1
Whale money by day, 30 days
YES $1.3MNO $1.0MSep 2Today
Whale trades
- $4.9K5h ago
YES No change @ 66¢
- $9.8K11h ago
NO Hike 25 bps @ 68¢
- $7.9K11h ago
NO No change @ 34.5¢
- See all 2,598 whale trades
Biggest positions
Order booksNo change YES
Kalshi
Yes priceSizeValue
66¢32K$21K
67¢17K$11K
68¢12K$8.5K
69¢30K$21K
70¢20K$14K
Spread1¢
65¢700$455
64¢1.4K$872
63¢70$44
62¢4.0K$2.5K
61¢14K$8.3K
Polymarket
Yes priceSizeValue
66¢24K$16K
67¢221K$148K
68¢7.8K$5.3K
69¢5.9K$4.1K
70¢8.8K$6.2K
Spread1¢
65¢99K$64K
64¢49K$32K
63¢797$502
62¢50$31
61¢1.2K$726
Polymarket US
Yes priceSizeValue
66¢6.2K$4.1K
68¢659$448
69¢19K$13K
70¢25K$17K
78¢50$39
Spread1¢
65¢23$15
64¢107$69
63¢1.8K$1.1K
62¢25K$16K
61¢25K$15K
Gemini
Yes priceSizeValue
67¢250$168
68¢625$425
Spread4¢
63¢250$158
62¢322$200
1¢10$0