How the picks are chosen
A pick is a buy made in the past 24 hours by a trader who has earned it. The trader must have won more Fed and rates bets than they lost over the last 30 days in that kind of market, made real money doing it and put real money on this bet. A trader who is good at tennis does not get a pick for a bet on politics. Rivo drops a pick once the trader sells it, once its market stops trading, or once the price has moved well away from what they paid.
Picks that settled as winners are shown in full. Open picks name the trader and the kind of market. The terminal shows the full list. The market page carries a buy button for each side that places the order on your own account.
Who leads today
thegreengem leads the Fed and rates board with $53,145 over the past 24 hours on Polymarket, from 9 settled bets and a 100% win rate. The top 10 made $130,746 between them. 51 traders qualify, 50 on Polymarket and 1 on Kalshi.
The biggest single win on the board paid $37,271, to thegreengem.
How this leaderboard is ranked
Rivo ranks traders by profit on the Fed and rates bets they placed over the past 24 hours. Each bet counts when its market settles, against the price the trader paid, so a bet that is still open adds nothing yet. A trader needs 3 settled bets to be listed, and win rate and return use the same bar. Every number comes from trades Rivo recorded on Polymarket and Kalshi. Read how Rivo scores trades for the details.
For the long run record, see the best fed and rates traders of all time.
Copy a trader from this board
Open any trader for the full record: profit curve, win rate against the odds paid, results by bet size and the markets they trade most. Follow them for alerts on every new position, or build a bot that copies them on paper at your own size and read the result before you risk money.
Frequently asked questions
What are the top Fed and rates traders buying today?
10 traders with a winning 30 day record hold 5 open picks worth $292,420, all bought in the past 24 hours. The page names the traders and the kind of market. Rivo's terminal shows each one with its market, side and price.
Which Fed and rates picks won today?
makeit99 bought Yes on No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting? at 84 cents and it settled a winner, a return of 19% on $2,450. The biggest winning picks of the past 24 hours are listed on this page.
What was the biggest Fed and rates trade today?
$77,571 on a Fed and rates market, still open. The largest trades of the past 24 hours that won or are still open are listed on this page.
Which Fed and rates markets are whales betting on today?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting? took the most large money over the past 24 hours, $5.0 million across 55 large trades. The page ranks the five busiest markets.
Can I copy these picks?
Yes. The terminal lists them in one feed you can trade from with one click. The market page has a buy button for each side that opens the order on your own venue account live or on paper. To follow a trader instead of one pick, build a bot that copies everything they buy at your own size.
Who is the best Fed and rates trader today?
thegreengem on Polymarket, with $53,145 profit over the past 24 hours from 9 settled bets and a 100% win rate.
How is this Fed and rates leaderboard ranked?
By profit on the bets each trader placed over the past 24 hours, counted as each market settles, from trades Rivo recorded on Polymarket and Kalshi. A trader needs 3 settled bets to be listed. Nothing is self-reported.
How often does the leaderboard update?
Every hour. The window rolls forward with it, so a bet drops off once it is older than the window.
Can I copy a top Fed and rates trader?
Yes. Follow any trader for alerts on every new position, or build a bot that copies them on paper at your own size. On Kalshi a bot can copy live through your own API key.
How many traders are on this leaderboard?
51 traders qualify over the past 24 hours, with 589 settled bets between them. The table shows the top 51.